UFC

UFC on ESPN 2 | Barboza vs Gaethje DraftKings Breakdown  

UFC on ESPN 2 | Barboza vs Gaethje DraftKings Breakdown  

UFC on ESPN 2: Barboza vs Gaethje DraftKings Breakdown  Saturday, March 30th, 2019 3:30 pm ESTFor a more detailed breakdown of this UFC card, please listen to our DraftKings podcast. I broke the fighters into four tiers, price points are included. I also listed a few bets that I like on the bottom of the article.  Please ask any questions in the discord chat.Tier 1 Leans ($9.4K-$8.9K): Kevin Holland $8.9K – Holland has a very high strike count with finishing upside. I like Holland in GPPs and cash. He is long, very athletic, and moves well. The risk here is if Meerschaert has success grappling and slows this fight down.Alex Perez $9.2K – Perez should have a size advantage here and he’s the bigger puncher. Mark De La Rosa has a few wins against smaller guys at this weight class. Perez cuts a lot of weight and hydrates up, so I like that he is coming up to 135 pounds for this fight. He is a good wrestler, but his striking vs Jose Torres is what I’m expecting to see here. I’d play Perez in both GPPs and cash. De La Rosa is dangerous on the ground.

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UFC on ESPN+ 6 | Thompson vs Pettis DraftKings Breakdown  

UFC on ESPN+ 6 | Thompson vs Pettis DraftKings Breakdown  

For a more detailed breakdown of this UFC card, please listen to our DraftKings podcast. I broke the fighters into four tiers, which will include six fighters in each tier. I also listed a few bets I like on the bottom of the article. Please ask any questions in the discord chat.Tier 1 Leans ($9.4K-$8.8K): If you are max entering any GPP you should be sprinkling in all six of these fighters. I picked these two fighters to talk about because of their ability to get 12 times value.Bobby Moffett $8.8K – I talked about Bobby Moffett on the podcast and I really like him in this spot. I think he is going to win this fight via submission in the first or second round. Moffett is a wrestler with a BJJ black belt, which means he has the ability to get this fight to the ground and he has the skill to submit Bryce Mitchell, who had success vs Brad Katona and Tyler Diamond when he went for takedowns. However, he often found himself fighting off submissions in those fights and he left his neck exposed. Moffett is going to lock up that submission given those opportunities. Cash and GPP option.

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UFC on ESPN+ 5 | Till vs Masvidal DraftKings Breakdown  

UFC on ESPN+ 5 | Till vs Masvidal DraftKings Breakdown  

I changed up my format for this UFC card based on our weekly conversations in the discord chat. I will be focusing on my player pool for GPPs and cash. For a more detailed breakdown, please listen to our DraftKings podcast. If you have any suggestions, please let me know. I decided to keep the tiered outline and I added some bets at the end of the article.Top Tier Leans ($9.4K-$8.7K): Nathaniel Wood $9.4K – Wood has a combination of striking and pressure that I don’t see his opponent Jose Quinones handling. My only concern in this fight is if Quinones is able to get an early takedown and slow the fight down. On the feet, Nathaniel Wood is going to pick Quinones apart and expect him to finish. I am on Wood for my cash games and like him for 45%+ ownership in GPPs.

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UFC on ESPN+ 4 | Lewis vs Dos Santos DraftKings Breakdown  

UFC on ESPN+ 4 | Lewis vs Dos Santos DraftKings Breakdown  

This UFC card doesn’t have a lot of fights to get excited about. Listen to the podcast for more detailed breakdowns.The Main Event: Derek Lewis $6.8K vs Junior Dos Santos $9.4KThis is a fight I have no problem fading in cash. It’s highly volatile so I’d rather just stay away from the potential landmine in a cash game. In GPPs, this fight may score very well because of that volatility. Derek Lewis is a cash game punt who can pay off in a big way. Lewis has dangerous one-punch knockout power in his right hand. But the reality is that this fight depends on Junior Dos Santos, who has not looked good recently, but he does have the boxing to keep distance and pick his shots to earn a decision. If this fight goes to decision, I don’t want either fighter and it will keep these guys off the optimal lineup. Lewis is a GPP punt who opens up so many possibilities. I am not convinced Junior is going to stay out of harm’s way after his subpar performance vs Ivanov and getting touched up by Tuivasa. If Lewis lands some of those Tuivasa punches, this fight will be over

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