Tonight’s 10-game slate is loaded and there’s no reason to avoid the longer 6-8 player drafts as long as you take a center early. The depth at guard makes grabbing a prime center with the one of your first two picks less painful later in the draft. Rank Player POS TEAM Auction Value 1 LeBron […]
The DraftKings Tiers championship is tonight meaning we have one of the more important Tiers Talks of the year. Let’s get right to it…(Players listed in order of preference)Tier 1LeBron James, Nikola Jokic, Kyrie IrvingTier 1 is the LeBron James tier with Nikola Jokic as the GPP pivot. As good of a matchup as it is for Kyrie Irving he just doesn’t carry the floor or ceiling of Bron and Joker. Ultimately, LeBron is the cash and “best” choice as the Lakers are without Kyle Kuzma and potentially Brandon Ingram. LeBron will need to do just about everything on the offensive end, which typically leads to fantasy production. Jokic carries elite upside because of the matchup but his production has been down a touch of late with the Nuggets almost at full strength. Hard to pass on LeBron in this tier.
We have a busy 10-game NBA DFS slate on our hands, here are my top targets…PGsBen Simmons (FD $9900, DK $8900) vs CHIIn his brief NBA career, Ben Simmons has never produced under 50 fantasy points against the Bulls (four game sample size). Simmons has made it his brief career to terrorize them averaging 57.15 FD points and 60.5 DK points. The Bulls struggle vs primary ball-handlers but have relatively contained point-forwards on the year, ranking ninth. Still, the Bulls struggle vs rebounders and Simmons has produced 50+ fantasy points while playing 40+ minutes in three straight games. Expect the minutes and production to be there again for Simmons tonight, he’s an elite target.
We have six games on the NBA slate tonight. We don’t have a ton of injury news but we are waiting on word for Paul George. We already have Embiid, Klay and Sabonis OUT for tonight. This is also kind of a slower paced slate of games so roster construction is going to be a little tougher as we don’t really have one game that we should really love. The MIN/OKC game is the closest to that for me but of course a lot of those plays depend on PG13. Lets get into it.
Welcome, to the Judge’s Verdict. We have an interesting six-game NBA slate tonight with PG13’ status lingering over the slate. Hopefully, we get that piece of news before lock.Here are some of my top tournament plays for tonight’s slate.Note: The numbers in parenthesis refer to the salaries of that particular player. The first number is the FanDuel (“FD”) salary, while the second number is the DraftKings (“DK”) salary.Steph Curry (9.4, 9.0)I know Russ is banged up and has looked awful lately, but if PG13 is ruled out – I still will play Russ in all my cash games tonight. However, I think Curry is an elite play tonight too. Without Klay, he sees a 40% usage rate, which is an insane 9% bump. He also averages over 1.64 fantasy points per minute. The Celtics are a mess right now, and even though I expect Marcus Smart to do his best to slow down Curry – he struggles to defend the smaller and craftier guards like Curry. I think the Celtics keep this close tonight, and Curry should coast to an easy 50 fantasy point performance.
Deep player pool for tonight’s 6-game slate. All size drafts are viable, which is rare for a medium sized slate. Keep an eye on Paul George’s status, he is a great late swap option in longer drafts. If he plays, you’re in good shape, if you have to swap, there’s enough talent to pivot to. […]
With my move over we’re back to our normal schedule. Over the last week or so, I have been posting my picks in our chat and on twitter so you could all follow along with my progress. We just stayed the course over the last five days and didn’t do much to improve or hurt […]
Let’s get right into DraftKings NBA DFS Tiers slate… Tier 1 James Harden, Karl-Anthony Towns, Russell Westbrook There’s a strong case to be made for all three players in Tier 1 but currently I’m leaning Harden. While the Raptors are a stout defense they give up the 18th most fantasy points to superstars and the […]
Six-game Tuesday NBA DFS slate highlighted by two intriguing prime-time games. Let’s get right to it…Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers (o/u 221.5, PHI -4.5)Orlando is 8th in defensive rating, 25th in pace.Philadelphia is 12th in defensive rating, 7th in pace.This is an interesting spot for Orlando as they head to Philadelphia to face an Embiidless Sixers team. Without Embiid, the Sixers continue to struggle defensively with their DRTG 5.5 points worse without him on the floor. Philly has also averaged 2.3 more possessions with Embiid out, meaning they’re playing at a faster pace.The Sixers have zero size in the low post tonight, making Nikola Vucevic an intriguing play. Something recently discussed in the TQE chat was how consistent Vucevic is. His consistency is also his fault as he’s priced up with the likes of Jokic and Towns but doesn’t carry that similar ceiling as either of them. What Vuc does carry is an elite floor going for 50+ fantasy points in five of his last six games. No one plays Vuc at over $10k, while everyone plays him at under $9k. Priced at $10k+, Vuc is an intriguing low owned pricey center against a team that has no size to defend him. He’s an elite target.He’s far from a priority in my lines, but Aaron Gordon is a decent target tonight. Gordon will benefit from the Sixers pace bump and has yet to be priced out at $7100 on FD and $6400 on DK. Gordon hasn’t shown much of a ceiling as he’s only been over 40+ fantasy points twice in his last eight games. However, what he has shown is a decent floor with him being under 30 fantasy points just once in those eight games. His minutes have been elite his last three games at 37.66 which has led to a slight production bump, he’s a good target if he’s in the 36+ minute range again.Evan Fournier and Terrence Ross are SGs to consider in GPPs. Both are too cheap for the upside they’re capable of, particularly Ross on DK, but both also carry an immense amount of risk. Can’t trust them in cash, can definitely target them in GPPs.I hate attacking Orlando in DFS. They play at a bottom five pace and play some of the best team defense in the NBA.Ben Simmons has been back to producing the way we expected him to when Embiid was first injured going for back to back 50+ fantasy point performances. Simmons is now priced up on FD at $9900 yet on DK he remains a bit too cheap at $8400. Simmons isn’t a fade for me on FD but he’s not the elite target he is on DK. The Magic give up the 6th fewest fantasy points to Point-Forwards.Orlando has struggled to defend stretch fours such as Tobias Harris, ranking 22nd in Advanced DvP. This is where Advanced DvP is crucial as most will see Orlando as the seventh best team against PFs in standard DvP, meaning we should get Harris at lower ownership in a matchup that’s better than the public thinks. Harris has produced well without Embiid at a 1.11 FD and 1.15 DK point per minute clip, which equates to over 40+ fantasy points per-36 minutes. Harris has actually been playing more than 36 minutes per game, at $8k on FD and $7400 on DK Harris offers a safe and appealing upside.I’d expect Jonah Bolden and Mike Scott to carry some ownership especially if Amir Johnson is scratched but I worry both will be eaten alive by Vuc on defense. Both would carry some foul trouble risk. There’s value and upside but neither are slam-dunks as they could potentially be touted as.The guy I worry about today is Jimmy Butler. Butler has a sore back and while he missed a practice, I think he will suit up tonight because the Sixers need some bodies. A sore back in a bad matchup is not something I want to pay up for.
We have seven games on tonight’s NBA slate and a lot of bad defenses. We have a few questionable players that will really shape the slate as well. Anthony Davis, Hassan Whiteside, Goran Dragic, and John Collins are the main guys I would keep an eye on. Miami has that great matchup with ATL and with fewer guys playing, we would certainly like a lot more pieces there. Let’s get into it.