Welcome, to the Judge’s Verdict. We have a tricky seven-game NBA slate tonight (every slate for the rest of the year will be tricky), so let’s get down to business.All the guys in our article yesterday hit (Fox, Mitchell, Justin Jackson, Bagley, Towns), so hopefully, you were able to make some nice cash on both sites. It’s Memphis chalk night, so get the liquor ready.Here are some of my top tournament plays for tonight’s slate.Note: The numbers in parenthesis refer to the salaries of that particular player. The first number is the FanDuel (“FD”) salary, while the second number is the DraftKings (“DK”) salary.Fred VanVleet (5.6, 5.3)Lowry is still out for Toronto, which means I will go back to VanVleet again tonight. He was overlooked on the last slate (we write about him that slate too) and put up 23 points, 6 assists, and 2 steals in 40 minutes against OKC. Tonight, we get a rematch of these two teams, and Westbrook is sneakily getting eaten up by opposing point guards. VanVleet is shooting over 55% in his last three games and getting to the rim with ease. VanVleet should play over 35 minutes tonight, and he is going to find a way to 30+ fantasy points. He’ll be popular, but this is a piece of chalk you can eat. If you want to pivot, Dinwiddie is staring at us at a similar price. If DLo lets him touch the ball, he is in a great spot against the Lakers.
We have seven games on tonight’s NBA slate and I regret to inform you that we are going to be forced into playing multiple Grizzlies tonight. The LAL/BKN game certainly catches the eye as well but honestly, cash games are going to be so centered around the MEM guys that we are going to be able to play whoever else we want because they are all so cheap. We also already have Lowry out for tonight so VanVleet is firmly in play again but let’s just get into it.
Rank Player POS TEAM Auction Value 1 James Harden G HOU $60 -$70 2 Russell Westbrook G OKC $50 -$60 3 LeBron James F LAL $50 -$60 4 Giannis Antetokounmpo F MIL $50 -$60 5 Nikola Jokic C DEN $50 -$60 6 D’Angelo Russell G BKN $40- $50 7 DeMar DeRozan G SAS $40- $50 […]
Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic (o/u 207.5, ORL -9.5)Memphis is 9th in defensive rating, 30th in pace.Orlando is 7th in defensive rating, 23rd in pace.This is about as gross of an NBA DFS game as we can get but luckily for us with Avery Bradley out and Mike Conley considered doubtful to play we must consider some Grizzlies targets.Expect Delon Wright to carry high ownership. Delon provides elite value priced at $5100 on FD and $4900 on DK. I don’t really care how bad of a matchup this is, Delon played 40 minutes last game with JUST Avery Bradley out. With Bradley and Conley OFF the court Delon is a 0.92 FD and DK FPPM producer and sees an appealing 8.12% usage bump and couple that with the fact Delon will likely play 40 minutes again; it’s hard to find a better value on the slate. He’s an elite target.Another Grizzlies value to consider is Tyler Dorsey. Dorsey will likely log 30+ minutes priced at $3700 on FD and $3000 on DK. Dorsey is not a strong FPPM producer and this is a bad matchup but he carries intrigue simply because of his minutes potential at minimum price.Don’t sleep on Chandler Parsons who sees a 0.28 FD and 0.26 DK FPPM increase with a 6.97% usage bump with Bradley and Conley OFF the floor, either. Earlier in his career, Parsons was known as a point-forward so look for him to see increased touches. Parsons has played 22 and 25 productive minutes in back to back games, he’s a borderline elite target priced at $4100 on FD and $3400 on DK.While he’s coming off of a huge game this isn’t the game environment I particularly want to target Jonas Valanciunas in. I’d prefer to target the Grizzlies cheap values.There’s not a ton to like on the Orlando side as this game carries a bit more blowout potential then the Vegas line might indicate and it will also be played at a painfully slow pace. That being said the Grizzlies defense is not great and their top 10 defensive rating is a result of their slow pace.I’m never again paying up for Nikola Vucevic as he’s been about as rock solid of a producer as we’ve had this DFS season. Vuc is far from a priority in my lines but if you’re looking for a low owned big with a safe floor Vuc is your man.This is just a gross game environment, I get that Augustin and Gordon have been playing their most productive basketball of the season but against Memphis’ slow pace is not where I want to pay up for them at their season-high price tags.
The NBA Player Props are taken from FanDuel and DraftKings. If you have any questions about the changing lines, please shoot me over some questions at @xavierjwarner on Twitter and I’ll be glad to help.Pick History – 298 for 551 (54.1%)Denver Nuggets vs New York KnicksJamal Murray O 3.5 REB -122For the second night in a row, Murray gets an elite matchup against a team that struggles at limiting their opponent’s rebounds. All of the info from yesterday’s prop applies today with the added exception that the Knicks give up more rebounds than Washington does on a per game basis. The Knicks are ranked 28th in the NBA in opponents rebounds per game at 55.6. Murray hit our target threshold last night in a positive matchup against the Wizards so another positive matchup caught my eye for tonight’s slate. Tag Murray in this one as I love his prospects of grabbing at least four rebounds in this game.
Welcome, to the Judge’s Verdict. We have a tricky six-game NBA slate tonight (every slate for the rest of the year will be tricky), so let’s get down to business.Here are some of my top tournament plays for tonight’s slate.Note: The numbers in parenthesis refer to the salaries of that particular player. The first number is the FanDuel (“FD”) salary, while the second number is the DraftKings (“DK”) salary.De’Aaron Fox (8.5, 7.3)I want to attack the awful and tanking Mavs tonight in a 230 over/under game. Fox has sneakily been playing excellent of late (not shocking that when Bogdan goes to the bench, Fox plays better). Fox has shot over 50% from the field in 5/7 games, and he actually seems to be the healthiest he’s been all year. Tonight, he faces the slow old man game of Brunson, and Fox will run circles around him. Most will play Tyus and Kemba tonight, and I will gladly pivot to Fox in tournaments.
Tonight’s 6-game slate is a little thin to recommend 6-8 player drafts; so stick to the 4-player, or fewer, drafts. Other than that, grab some Pepto-Bismol and enjoy betting on March NBA action. Rank Player POS TEAM Auction Value 1 Karl-Anthony Towns C MIN $50 -$60 2 Nikola Jokic C DEN $50 -$60 3 Andre […]
The Player Props are taken from FanDuel and DraftKings. If you have any questions about the changing lines, please shoot me over some questions at @xavierjwarner on Twitter and I’ll be glad to help. Pick History – 292 for 536 (54.4%) Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Nikola Jokic O 21.5 PTS -118 Bradley Beal O […]
As March Madness begins the madness of March NBA DFS continues. Here are my favorite targets for tonight’s NBA slate. PGsKemba Walker (FD $9300, DK $8100) vs De’Aaron Fox (FD $8500, DK $7300)Both the Hornets and Kings basically have to win out to have any sort of making the playoffs and because it’s unlikely for that to happen, this could be our last chance to get both players with their full complement of minutes. In terms of matchup, both are in strong spots vs the T-Wolves and the Mavericks with Fox slightly edging out Kemba with the better Dallas matchup. I don’t like Fox’s price on FD as he hasn’t consistently shown the ceiling we covet at $8500. On DK at $7300, Fox is a rock-solid target. Kemba continues to be a boom or bust option who’s overpriced because of his occasional 50+ point upside. There isn’t a ton to pay up for at PG so in GPPs paying up for Kemba is a decent strategy. His DK price is appealing. Ultimately I trust Fox to get me 40 more so than Kemba but Kemba is the safer bet to 50+ fantasy points.