Welcome, to the Judgeâ€™s Verdict. We have an excellent, yet odd eight-game NBA slate tonight with tons of value but not a lot of stars. We will have to dig deep to outsmart the super computers on this slate, as they are salivating at the opportunity to play every possible bum tonight.
Here are some of my top tournament plays for tonightâ€™s slate.
Note: The numbers in parenthesis refer to the salaries of that particular player. The first number is the FanDuel (â€śFDâ€ť) salary, while the second number is the DraftKings (â€śDKâ€ť) salary.
Jamal Murray (7.6, 7.8)
I loved Murray last night, and I will go right back to him again on Saturday night. My favorite thing in NBA DFS is attacking Trae Young on the defensive end and Atlanta in general. Theyâ€™re an embarrassing defensive team, and they still lead the league in pace. Denver is really banged up, as both Gary Harris and Millsap are out indefinitely. Murray in his last three games has averaged over 40 minutes, 20 shot attempts, 25 points, eight assists, and five rebounds. I am slightly concerned over some minor ailments Murray is dealing with himself, but this is just too tasty of a matchup for me to pass up on.
Note: I loved Sexton last night too, and with George Hill gone â€“ I will go right back to him as well tonight.
Alec Burks (4.0, 3.9)
This one is tough for me to write, as in my high entry H2H vs. Chipotle last night, he used Burks (I had heartless Hart) and that turned out to be the deciding factor in our matchup (the rest of his lineup was awful per usual in our H2Hs). Burks, besides Fox, was the best player on the court last night. With George Hill gone and the corpse of Rodney Hood injured, Burks played 38 minutes and had 22 points, seven rebounds, nine assists, and one steal. He was all over the court, was the Cavsâ€™ best playmaker, and was the most aggressive player on the court. Burks has always been a guy that jumps off the screen when you watch him play, as he is a versatile guard who can get buckets. He won me a lot of money last year when Mitchell was out for Utah. His lack of shooting and inability to space the floor is probably why NASA coaches donâ€™t play more in the modern NBA. But for tonight, for the banged up Cavs, he has a chance to put up a big number again against the Wizards.Â
Juan Hernangomez (5.0, 4.3)
Hernangomez has been playing excellent lately, and his number should only go up with Millsap being out. A lot of people will flock to Lyles or Plumlee with Millsap out, and that does make sense â€“ but Coach Malone could simply move Hernangomez to the power forward spot tonight against Atlanta. Either way, he is an elite play tonight at his price. In the last couple games, Hernangomez has averaged 14.5 points, seven rebounds, two assists, one steal, and one block in 36 minutes. I actually like the fact that this is a back to back for Denver, as this makes it more likely that the Hawks keep it close tonight against a very solid, yet banged up Denver team. If you roster him, just remember that heâ€™s not a high usage guy, so any extra shots we get would be a bonus.
Larry Nance (5.3, 4.7)
Nance got the start last night after Hill was traded, and he disappointed with 11 points and seven rebounds in 31 minutes. However, the only relevant stat for me in that line is the minutes. Nance was 6.3K on FD less than 10 days ago when he was starting, and he is capable of gobbling up rebounds, blocks, and steals in a fast paced game. Tonight, he faces a Wizards team that should provide the perfect opportunity for him to showcase his elite athleticism (granted, last night the Kingâ€™s provided the same opportunity). I am hoping recency bias leads most DFS players away from Nance, and I will gladly dance with Nance on Saturday night.
To me, there is just no substitute for pace. When a team plays at warp speed like Atlanta, blocks and steal and fantasy points just fall into each playerâ€™s lap. Every lineup I build is loaded with Denver, especially given the fact they are without Harris and Millsap. My favorite center is Jokic but if you need to save, Plumlee is also an elite option tonight. I know we are all sick of the Zellers and Plumlees, but Mason Plumlee is actually an extremely talented basketball player. He has very quietly been stealing Jokicâ€™s minutes for the past month now. Heâ€™s been playing so darn well that there are certain nights that Coach Malone canâ€™t take him off the court. And recently, Malone even started playing Jokic and Plumlee together (he did this last year but was hesitant to this year because of the sacred word â€śspacingâ€ť). On a site like DK, I would have no issue using both Jokic and Plumlee tonight against a Hawks team that oozes free fantasy points and zero defense to any player that steps out on the court.
Alright, the Judgeâ€™s Verdict is in and it is final. Good luck tonight!
If you have any comments/feedback, Iâ€™d love to hear it. You can find me on twitter @DanielAGreen1. Also, be sure to check out my NBA DFS podcast DG Courtroom every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season.
Sign up with promo code TheJudge to get $25 off the NBA Season Subscription or $10 off the all sports month to month subscription.