Weekend MLB DFS Primer – Get some Cubs exposure – The Quant Edge

Weekend MLB DFS Primer – Get some Cubs exposure – The Quant Edge

The Yankees and Red Sox bring baseball to London, while a trio of southpaws make their way to Cincinnati. There are some aces on the hill along with four of the most offensive friendly environments in play. How can we fit it all into one MLB DFS lineup? Well, we’ll just have to get creative!

To answer, let’s dive into this week’s Weekend MLB DFS Primer.

PITCHING APPROACH

FRIDAY 6/28: Mike Clevinger will try, yet again, to get back on track since returning from injury and the Baltimore Orioles should comply. Meanwhile, Cole Hamels has had an impeccable June (36 IP 36K/8 BB 1.00 ERA) and the Reds continue to spiral downward. Hamels will be a cost-effective MLB DFS secondary arm on DraftKings despite the questionable ballpark factor.

The Rays have also started to fall apart. Austin Meadows has disappeared in June and Lance Lynn will be an underrated and low owned MLB DFS tournament play. The cash game chalk of the night will be Jacob deGrom, who’s shaken the dust off a slow start to the year and finally hit the groove. Yes, Atlanta is a tough opponent, but his K/9 is back where it should be, making him an excellent cash game FanDuel ace.

SATURDAY 6/29: Luis Castillo has been tough to hit all year, but he’s been his own worst enemy of late, walking the ballpark. I would fade him Saturday and instead look to load up on offense in that game since Jose Quintana has been even worse recently.

Zach Eflin is an affordable bounce back candidate versus the Marlins in Miami on the day slate. He’ll be cost-effective coming off just his fourth outing of the year giving up more than 3 runs in a game.

In the evening slate, Chris Paddack will still be limited as the Padres manage his innings. His opponent Dakota Hudson is a fantastic contrarian play. Hudson has is 4-0 in his last 7 starts with a 2.22 ERA and the Padres are an offense with a high strikeout rate.

SUNDAY 6/30: Sunday morning, you’ll wake up to the Yankees and Red Sox in London. It will be tough to gauge how that ballpark will play, so I’ll mostly be fading the series as a whole. However, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 3.66 ERA versus the Yankees in 12 starts and could be a sneaky start or wager for that matter.

Jon Lester has been money at home this year, and a clear MLB DFS fade on the road. However, the Reds struggle against left-handed pitching and Lester has a career 3.38 ERA in Cincinnati. He’s another sneaky good tournament arm. Lucas Giolito is coming off his first hiccup in quite some time, but his price against a potent Twins offense makes him a cash game pass.

OFFENSIVE APPROACH

The Cubs will have three decent matchups this weekend against the Reds. Javier Baez has been underpriced recently on FanDuel, making him a must in any stack. The Brewers at home versus Pittsburgh will be chalky, but effective.

The right-handed bat in Houston this week will feast off of the Mariners left-handed pitching. That means paying up for Jose Altuve and George Springer specifically.

Friday and Saturday, the Twins will feast off White Sox pitching. Nelson Cruz and Eddie Rosario will be the main targets, but don’t forget about Mitch Garver either.

The Indians have been underwhelming all year, but Jason Kipnis has been on a recent hot streak and that lineup is very much in play in Camden Yards this weekend.

I would fade the Yankees/Red Sox series in London, simply because we don’t know how the time change or ballpark factor will play out. And of course, the Dodgers in Colorado this weekend will be covered in chalk and still a sound play.

Compare