Week 9 NFL Betting Guide

Week 9 NFL Betting Guide

2018 record: 25-15-1 (62 percent)

Two-team tease: Kansas City Chiefs -2 @ Cleveland Browns & Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots -.5

After a month off of teases, here’s finally one I like.

The Cleveland Browns still refuse to win in regulation on Sunday. This week, they fired their two highest-ranking offensive coaches (head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley) and promoted 2017 Arizona Cardinals running backs coach Freddie Kitchens to offensive coordinator. Kitchens has never called plays at any level of football before.

Kansas City’s offense is stronger than Cleveland’s defense. Kansas City’s defense is less weak than Cleveland’s offense. Kansas City has the veteran offensive coach in the NFL. Cleveland’s defensive coordinator moved to head coach this week while also having to promote two new coordinators. This is a great spot for the Chiefs on a tease.

The second leg of this tease is a Sunday Night Football matchup between Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady, only their second matchup ever somehow. Since Mike McCarthy has taken over as the Packers’ head coach, the Patriots have gone an NFL best 85-15 at home. Five of those losses (three Cassel games, one Brissett game and one meaningless Week 17 game where Brady didn’t play the second half) can be thrown out of the data. Really, Belichick and Brady are good for a loss (1) at home every season. It’s a fool’s errand to pick against the Patriots in this spot.

Flash fact: There were 26 drives in Green Bay-Los Angeles this week and only 10 of them featured an Aaron Rodgers pass. Riddle me that.

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