Usually, if you want to take down a GPP, you need to have a bit of a contrarian mindset. From a simplified macro game-theory perspective, if you have the same players as everyone, it’s a lot harder to win a larger tournament.
Most tournament winning teams have a mix of “the chalk” or higher owned players, as well as contrarian, lower owned players. I’ll be bringing you my preferred lower-owned players each week on DraftKings, but sometimes will also mix in what I perceive to be “good chalk.”
*Note: This year I have made a conscious effort to tighten my player pool, play fewer lineups, and zero in on what is the most optimal lineup possible. (I owe a great deal of that to watching Joe Holka review high stakes lineups on Twitch). From there, I might make one or two alterations based on the type of tournament structure I plan on using it for. Being contrarian really isn’t all that hard, especially when you game stack and are aware of how particular players correlate with one another.
Jared Goff – Goff was the only quarterback that I wrote up last week and it worked out well, as he threw for 295 yards (just missing the 300 yard DK bonus) and three touchdowns.
It’s simple: Goff is only 6k and is playing for one of the elite offenses in the NFL (Rams), for the best offensive mind in the NFL (McVay), and in the highest total on the slate (60). The way to attack the Saints defense is through the air, as they are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers (PFF). Also working in Goff’s favor is one of the Saints best pass rushers, first-round pick Marcus Davenport, will be on the sideline, giving Goff more time to throw.
Although Goff isn’t expected to see Cam ownership levels, he should still be one of the most popular QB’s on the main slate. While DFS players will likely look to stack Goff with one or two of his receivers (I prefer Cooper Kupp this week), I recommend stacking Gurley with Goff again, who make for a strong correlation play and give you a shot at locking up most if not all the Rams touchdowns. Goff-Gurley stacks had only three percent ownership in the milly maker, according to Joe Holka.
Game stack pool: Jared Goff, Todd Gurley, Cooper Kupp, Brandin Cooks, or Robert Woods – run it back with Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas, or Tre’Quan Smith.