We nailed it in Week 12, going 3-0 on our prop bets and absolutely murdering any and all Christian McCaffrey prop bets. Let’s look to build on our positive record in Week 13….
Aaron Jones OVER 80 Rushing Yards
The Packers host the Cardinals as 14-point favorites this week, a situation we can benefit from on a prop perspective. This game sets up perfectly for RB Aaron Jones, who has finally become the Packers workhorse after the Packers odd and agonizing love affair with Jamaal Williams seems to have ended.
The Packers defense has been much better this season at home, allowing just 18.8 points per game at Lambeau. There is also expected to be winds close to 20 MPH, comfortably higher than the 15 MPH threshold that’s known to affect quarterbacks’ yards per attempt and completion percentage. This sets up as a horrible spot for the Cardinals offense, meaning the Packers will be able to run in neutral or positive game script for longer than normal. I like Jones to see a single-game, season-high in touches this week. With those touches, he should be able to churn out over 100 yards against the Cardinals who are allowing the most rushing yards per game and 4.64 yards per carry.