UFC on ESPN+ 1 | Cejudo vs. Dillashaw DraftKings Breakdown

UFC on ESPN+ 1 | Cejudo vs. Dillashaw DraftKings Breakdown

Saturday, January 19th, 2019 6:00 pm EST

The first UFC card on ESPN is here and I will be in the press room on Saturday night covering the event for MMA India. I think the midrange will play a big role in determining who wins the GPPs this week. Selecting the winning fighter is these midrange fights is not going to be easy at all. Please listen to The Quant Edge MMA Podcast for more detailed analysis.

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The Main Event: TJ Dillashaw $8.9K vs Henry Cejudo $7.3K

There are two narratives surrounding this fight, will these guys make the 125-pound weight limit for a championship fight and will this be the end of the UFC Flyweight division. The fight analysis for me is very easy, TJ’s striking is just too much for Cejudo. The combination of speed, movement, cutting angles to strike, and power leads me to believe TJ will hurt Cejudo and stop him. I expect TJ to finish this fight. The odds are in favor of it reaching the scorecards, which is also fine from a DraftKings standpoint since these guys can score points for five rounds, but I think TJ finishes Cejudo. The cash game stack is playable in this spot. I like TJ Dillashaw in all formats. Cejudo is a GPP play in multi-entry GPPs but I am staying away from using much of him.

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