The midrange this week is tricky. We have a lot of heavy favorites this week and some of the DK prices are suppressed as a result. I only see four UFC fights in which the underdog has a clear path to victory. But again, this is MMA so anything can happen!
The Main Event: Robert Whittaker $8.9K vs Kelvin Gastelum $7.3K
I expect this fight to be a technical chess match on the feet. In cash games, I really like this stack but wouldn’t be surprised if it scores on the lower side. I still think it’s worth playing to be safe and I’m not a huge fan of other low-priced fighters. If this fight goes the distance, I see Whittaker winning enough rounds to retain his title. Gastelum is a patient counter striker waiting with that big left hand ready to wobble his opponent. Whittaker doesn’t strike with the highest volume so those opportunities will be few and far between. Both guys are GPP viable as they have knockout ability. I expect Whittaker to use his kicking game from distance early and attack the lead right foot of Kelvin Gastelum.