Welcome, to the Judge’s Verdict. We have a massive ten game slate tonight with options galore at almost every position. Let’s get right down to business.
Here are some of my top tournament plays for tonight’s slate.
Note: The numbers in parenthesis refer to the salaries of that particular player. The first number is the FanDuel (“FD”) salary, while the second number is the DraftKings (“DK”) salary.
Kemba Walker (9.7, 9.3)
I talk all the time on the podcast and in this article about how I want to attack pace. There is simply no substitute in DFS for a team playing up in pace and getting all those juicy extra possessions. Charlotte plays Atlanta tonight, and the Hawks continue to provide fantasy gold on a nightly basis. Last night, we saw 33 steals in the Hawks/Heat game. When the pace is warp speed, players literally stumble in to steals. Accordingly, I love the Hornets tonight, specifically Kemba and Lamb. Kemba already has scored 45+ fantasy points against the Hawks in their first two meetings, and there is zero reason to think that will not happen again tonight.
Malcolm Brodon (5.6, 5.6)
I’ve been shocked the last few Bucks games who their most aggressive player has been on the court (besides Giannis of course). It is has been Brogdon. Down the stretch of a close game against Charlotte, the Bucks kept going to him time after time. I rostered Bledsoe that night, so I was screaming at him to pass the ball and cursing at the television. Tonight, I will not be caught off guard. All signs indicate that Brodon is a player on the rise, as he’s getting increased minutes and usage. And the good news for us it that the FD/DK algorithm hasn’t figured this out yet, as his price hasn’t gone up much. So, he’s a safe play at his current price with a rapidly growing ceiling. And to top it off, he gets a juicy matchup with the defensively challenged Bulls tonight.
Otto Porter (6.6, 5.9)
I expect Otto to be popular tonight in the game of the night against the Pelicans with a 241 Over/Under. These two teams played last week, and Mirotic had no idea how to handle Otto on either end of the court. Otto put up 29 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals in 32 minutes. The pace of that game was ideal for Otto, and playing mostly at the PF spot without Dwight has turned him in to a very friendly fantasy player. He’s scored in double figures in each of his last five games averaging 17 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 assists. This is the most consistent Otto has been in his turbulent and underwhelming career. Let’s roster him with confidence tonight…and let’s also say a prayer Wall passes him the ball instead of taking 18 contested step back jumpers that all end in bricks.
Stars and Scrubs: AD (FD: 12.5); Isaac (DK: 3.7)
I think AD and Isaac are elite plays on both sites, however they each stand out a bit more on the sites stated above. On FD, AD is my top play on the slate, as there is simply no way the Wizards can guard him. My guess is they just try to outscore the Pelicans tonight, which means fantasy bliss for us.
With Gordon doubtful for Orlando, all indications are that Isaac will draw the start and see significant minutes. Clifford can be tricky with minutes, but Isaac’s floor should be 28 minutes tonight as long as he stays out of foul trouble. He has immense talent and is capable of stuffing the stat sheet even in a pace down game against Portland tonight. He will be one of the higher owned players on the slate, but that is irrelevant to me even in tournaments. I can differentiate my lineups at other positions.
Note: Isaac is a SF on FD while a SF/PF on DK.
Karl-Anthony Towns (9.9, 9.4)
Before the year started, I was giddy over the prospect of Butler being traded and rostering Towns each night. He is a top 10 talent in the league on the offensive end. Not sure people are noticing, but he is slowly starting to become a dominant force for the Wolves. In his last two games, he’s averaging 28 points, 16.5 rebounds, and 20.5 field goal attempts. Those are elite fantasy numbers, and numbers that may become the norm for Towns. I think he is going severely overlooked on this slate, and while I won’t have 100% exposure – I will make certain to plug him in to a few lineups. Most people will look at the matchup versus the Spurs and feel a tad queasy, but there is zero reason to fear the Spurs in my opinion. LMA is old, slow, immobile, sleepy, and an energized Towns on the perimeter should give him fits.
Alright, the Judge’s Verdict is in and it is final. Good luck tonight!
If you have any comments/feedback, I’d love to hear it. You can find me on twitter @DanielAGreen1. Also, be sure to check out my NBA DFS podcast DG Courtroom every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season.