Welcome, to the Judge’s Verdict. We have an excellent eight-game NBA slate toight– so let’s get right down to business.
Here are some of my top tournament plays for today’s slate.
Note: The numbers in parenthesis refer to the salaries of that particular player. The first number is the FanDuel (“FD”) salary, while the second number is the DraftKings (“DK”) salary.
De’Aaron Fox (8.2, 7.2)
Fox had a stretch of three subpar games last week, which resulted in a steep price drop on both sites. He was dealing with a variety of minor ailments, which appeared to impact his game. However, last night in only 22 minutes, he completely dominated Orlando and made D.J. Augustin look like that fat, chubby kid on the freshman team on your high school team. So, Fox looks back to being healthy – and now gets a horrid Phoenix team tonight without Booker. The Kings have struggled on back to backs this year, but Fox’s minutes were limited last night due to the blowout. Vegas thinks this game stays close even without Booker, which means that it should produce fantasy gold. Some people may still be wary of Fox if just going by the box scores, but I will gladly roster him in tournaments and watch him decimate that Phoenix defense.
Andrew Wiggins (6.5, 6.0)
Not sure if anyone has been paying attention, but Wiggins has put together a nice stretch over the last few games. As always with Wiggins, effort is the only thing that truly holds him back from putting up big stat lines. And lately, his effort has been (gasp) excellent. His usage has been glorious lately with 23, 19, 18, and 21 shots in the last four games – corresponding with 28, 16, 31, and 20 actual points. And tonight, we get Minnesota’s first game with their new coach after firing Thibs. Teams notoriously come out with extra energy in the 1st game after a coaching change, so Wiggins effort should NOT be an issue for once (in theory). I am willing to take a shot on him in a fast tempo matchup vs. OKC.
Note: Yes, I am mildly concerned about PG13 defense but not enough for me to fade Wiggins in tournaments.
I didn’t even put the prices for Otto or Warren above because you guys are so smart you probably already have them both in your lineup(s). Those two, along with PG13 are going to be the chalk plays at SF, so let’s think a little outside the box to find a guy who may be low owned. One guy I will look to tonight (especially on FD where we get the dropped score) is Oubre. He has been underwhelming for the most part since joining the Suns – but I want to use Westbrook and Embiid in several lineups. This means that I need some cheap value plays. Oubre is under 4K on both sites, and I think in the warp speed game against the Kings, he can get us 25 fantasy points. Combine that with what the star he allows me to roster, and for me – that makes Oubre worth a shot in tournaments.
Domantas Sabonis (7.1, 7.4)
I am not going to overthink this too much. Turner is out, and Sabonis is a fantasy point per minute monster. When Sabonis gets over 30 minutes, I play him. The matchup versus the Cavs is not ideal in terms of pace, but he is too quick for Tristan Thompson around the basket and on the perimeter. So, I think this play is safe with a massive 50 fantasy point upside.
Embiid (11.5, 11.0)
It is impossible for any center to not have a big game against the Wizards. So, when you put the best center in the league against Washington, the result should be pretty obvious. There is easily enough value for me to get Russ/Embiid in my lineups (my top two plays on the day), so I will have lots of Embiid. If you want to look a different route, projections love the emotional malcontent Whiteside, Ayton is interesting, and Collins had a nice salary drop on DK.
Alright, the Judge’s Verdict is in and it is final. Good luck tonight!
If you have any comments/feedback, I’d love to hear it. You can find me on twitter @DanielAGreen1. Also, be sure to check out my NBA DFS podcast DG Courtroom every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season.