Welcome, to the Judge’s Verdict. Yesterday, we nailed the Jokic pick but didn’t get the breakout games we needed from Prince and Vonleh. Tonight, we have a five-game tricky NBA slate with some of the teams we loathe like Miami and Indiana. J-Rich and Tyreke are just constant trolls in our lives.
Here are some of my top tournament plays for tonight’s slate.
Note: The numbers in parenthesis refer to the salaries of that particular player. The first number is the FanDuel (“FD”) salary, while the second number is the DraftKings (“DK”) salary.
De’Aaron Fox (7.5, 7.9)
Fox has become one of my favorite players to watch in the NBA this year, and tonight he faces a Phoenix team (without Devin Booker) that ranks third-worst in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Booker’s replacement, Elie Okobo, will be one of the highest owned players on the slate, and I like both Okobo and Fox in this matchup. Fox got off to a blazing start this year and has cooled slightly since Bogdanovic rejoined the rotation. Bogdan hurts all of the Kings’ backcourt players because he has the ability to handle the ball and dictate offense for long stretches of games. However, lately, I have been encouraged with the Fox/Bogdan lineup together, and Buddy appears to be the odd man out on most nights. Fox is still seeing well over 30 minutes a night and averaging 13 points, six assists, three rebounds, three steals, and one block in the last week. Against a Phoenix team that turns the ball over at one of the highest rates in the league, Fox should feast tonight.
Dwyane Wade (5.7, 5.5)
I cringed when I saw Miami on the slate again, as this team has cost me a fortune this year. The roster is one of the worst in the entire league from a salary cap perspective. Miami has 5-7 guys that are virtually clones. They have nice rotation players with NO ONE to get easy baskets and help them close games down the stretch. Enter D-Wade. Even at 36, Wade is Miami’s best closer, and it’s not even close. Sure, some nights those knees are balky, and he is not going to be able to move very well. But for the most part, he is the one guy Miami can still look to down the stretch to (1) get a quality shot for himself or (2) get a quality show for someone else. And Miami needs to wins some games. It’s no coincidence that his minutes have been surging lately with Dragic and Tyler Johnson out, as he’s averaging close to 30 minutes in the last four games. Wade is still a usage monster and fantasy-point-per-minute player, so if he’s getting 30 minutes, I am interested. He is going to have the ball in his hands a ton and is averaging 16 shot attempts, 16 points and six assists in the last week. I am tired of rostering J-Rich and watching him shoot bricks and quiver in fear at the end of games, so at least with Wade, we know he is going to be aggressive.
Josh Jackson (5.6, 5.3)
Jackson is the top point per dollar play on almost every NBA DFS site tonight since Booker is out and Warren is doubtful, as Phoenix has no other legitimate perimeter scoring threat. Earlier in the year, he looked lost on the court, but lately, has resembled the guy who won us a lot of money late last season. It is hard to envision a scenario in the highest over/under of the night vs. Sacramento where he doesn’t take 20 shots and stuff the stat sheet with NBA fantasy goodness. When you are thinking of fading him just say out loud the other Phoenix players who are going to score…ready? Ariza? Okobo? Bridges? OK…we can stop there.
Note: Jackson is an SF on DK but a PF for some bizarre reason on FD.
Wendell Carter, Jr. (5.8, 4.8)
The Bulls finally fired Hoiberg after a pretty disastrous run the last few years (granted, the Bulls management certainly didn’t do him any favors with the roster). Whenever a team gets a new coach, they usually come out with renewed energy and focus until ultimately the lack of talent brings them back down to earth. In tonight’s game against the Pacers, my favorite Chicago player for tournaments is Carter. I think Markkanen being back will really help him out by spacing the floor. If you watched Bulls game this year, you saw Jabari and Wendell both in the paint together – and neither had much room to operate. The Bulls main goal this year is to develop Carter, so he should see more minutes and touches under the new coach. His price is very reasonable (and dirt cheap on DK), so he doesn’t need to do much to pay off his salary. If Carter stays out of foul trouble, he is going to abuse lazy Turner in the post down low.
Note: Carter is a PF on FD and a C on DK because why make our lives easy with them being the same position.
Alright, the Judge’s Verdict is in and it is final. Good luck tonight!
If you have any comments/feedback, I’d love to hear it. You can find me on twitter @DanielAGreen1. Also, be sure to check out my NBA DFS podcast DG Courtroom every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season.