The betting tool is very confident in the Eagles tonight, and an Eagles onslaught makes a lot of sense for this game.
LB Zach Brown (knee):
If Zach Brown misses this game, it is a massive boost to the Eagles run game. With Brown on the field, the Redskins are allowing 4.12 yards per carry compared to 5.5 with him off the field. The explosive run percentage and run success rate also jump with him off the field.
WR Jamison Crowder (ankle):
Explosive pass percentage jumps five percent with him on the field. Has taken zero snaps with Colt McCoy this year.
CB Quinton Dunbar (shin):
With Dunbar — YPA: 7.75. Explosive pass percentage: 13.3 percent. Without Dunbar — YPA: 8.77. Explosive pass percentage: 23.2 percent.
DL Matt Ioannidis (shin):
Run success rate against jumps five percent with him off the field
RT Morgan Moses (knee)
IMPORTANT NOTE: BOTH STARTING GUARDS ARE OUT
Run success with 48.1percent, pass success with 48.0 percent
Run success without 32.3 percent, pass success without 36.4 percent
WR Trey Quinn (ankle)
TE Jordan Reed (back)
CB Jalen Mills (foot)
Explosive plays jump with no Mills on the field. 4.3 percent explosive run and 16.3 percent explosive pass against, while 9.7 percent explosive run and 20.3 percent explosive pass percentage against. The Eagles sack percentage has also dipped 2.2 percent.
CB Avonte Maddox (knee, ankle)
Run Success rate nine percent lower with him off the field, while YPA jumps from 7.33 to 8.32 without Maddox this year.
LB Jordan Hicks (calf)
Hicks has missed only 87 snaps this season. The Eagles have been worse against the pass but far better versus the run on limited snaps.
RB Darren Sproles (hamstring)
Will mix into the passing game if he plays.
DE Michael Bennett (foot)
The Eagles have given up 25% explosive pass rate with no Bennett on the field, just 14.3% with him on the field.
RB Josh Adams (hip)
Coming off back-to-back abysmal fantasy performances, Wentz is in a nice spot at home against a beat up Redskins team. He gets a big boost if Quinton Dunbar is out, as the Redskins have been gashed by big plays with him off the field. The Redskins have been an average pass defense on the year finishing between 48-66th percentile in every pass defense category in TQE’s head-to-head tool.
The key to Wentz having a big game is if he gets the volume. He is averaging 36.78 pass attempts and 289.11 yards per game this season, but in his last two weeks, he has attempted 28 and 33 pass attempts respectively, two of his three lowest volume games of the year. If he gets the volume, he should smash, but even if he doesn’t should score 15+ in this one. On a one-game slate, he should still find his way onto a majority of rosters.