Pitching Preview | 4/9

Pitching Preview | 4/9

Pitchers to Use

Jacob Degrom

Every stat you look at for Degrom is elite. This simply comes down to nobody on the slate possesses the safety and upside that Degrom has. Every single time he takes the mound, he has the ability to break the slate. He’s priced up, but I would do everything I can to fit him in. Vegas agrees as they have the game total set at 6.5 runs, which is usually the lowest they tend to go.

Aaron Nola

If you want to pay up for an elite pitching arm, but want it at a discount, Nola is your guy. He doesn’t possess the same double digit K upside every start that Degrom has, but he is one of the best pitchers in the game.

He limits hard contact, induces a lot of ground balls, and also had a respectable K rate of 27% last year. While the Nats were able to get to him on his last start, I don’t expect that to continue.

If you want a stud arm and need extra salary for bats, Nola is your pivot off Degrom.

Jonathan Loaisiga

The matchup is the reason he is priced so low. The Astros are as tough of a matchup as it gets. However, Loaisiga is an electric young arm. He averages 96mph on his fastball and gets a ton of whiffs on his slider.

Last year, his whiff rate was over 30%, which led to his K rate of 30.6%. We can take a shot on him in tourneys at his cheap price due to his strikeout ability. I prefer Holland in cash, but Loaisiga possesses elite K upside and is cheap solely because of the matchup.

Another interesting note is the Vegas total for this game opened at 8.5 and has been bet down to 8. Part of this is because Cole is pitching on the other side, but the Yankee bats have been hot so I think this is out of respect for Loaisiga’s talent.

Derek Holland

If needing to pay down at SP2 in cash, this would be my preferred option. The Padres have been struggling recently and Holland gets the best ballpark on the slate for pitching.

He should see a ton of righties here where he gave up a lot of hard contact last year, however, he struck out more righties than lefties. He has thrown well in both starts so far this year and I think that can continue here as he possesses a 28% whiff rate so far.

Pitchers to Pick On

Jake Junis

A guy who allowed 41% hard contact and 1.6 HR/9 last year is someone we want to pick on. Pair that with the fact that the Mariners have scored the most runs in the majors this year so far, and we have a top hitting spot to attack tonight.

Dakota Hudson

This is my favorite spot of the night for wanting bats. Hudson has pitched to contact in his time in the majors. He has also shown that he is going to struggle mightily against lefties.

Last year he had a whip over 2 against lefties, allowing 40% hard contact. In his first start this year, he gave up three homers to lefties.

We know the Dodgers possess a ton of left-handed power and they have been hot as well to start the year. Fire up the Dodgers again here.

Matt Harvey

Harvey just isn’t good anymore. The only thing he has going for him is the park he is pitching in. That didn’t help him his last outing though when we stacked the Rangers against him as he really struggles with left-handed power bats.

The Brewers have a similar outlook as the Rangers did that night. They are loaded with a ton of lefties who can hit the ball out of any park in the majors. This spot could go overlooked since it is a west coast game, but I think that’s a mistake. The Brewers, much like the Dodgers and Mariners are hot right now too.

Orioles Bullpen game

John Means is getting the start here, but he just pitched in relief 3 days ago. We have seen the Orioles manager pull pitchers on short rest because of wanting to manage their workloads. Not only that, but Means isn’t really stretched out to go deep in this game.

The Orioles bullpen is one we can pick on in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards, especially with the power bats throughout the A’s lineup. I love this as a bounce-back spot for the A’s.