This is shaping up to be a fun week. There are some pretty straightforward plays, especially in cash games. I am looking to highlight the main guys you should be building around in cash games this week. As a side note, RB is extremely deep this week, so even though I may not have listed someone, that doesn’t mean I don’t like them. I just want to list the core guys here. We can discuss any other players not listed in chat! Let’s get to it.
Pat Mahomes (7600 DK / 9500 FD)
While everyone is jamming in Spencer Ware (and rightfully so), they are forgetting how good Mahomes is. I expect the Chiefs to rely on Mahomes here more than they normally would in this matchup. In the weeks where Hunt had ceiling games, it was due to pass game involvement. So Ware and Mahomes can both have big games here due to the RB pass game involvement. There is enough value this week that you can make Mahomes work if you want to.
Andrew Luck (5800 DK / 8200 FD)
If I am paying down some at QB, it will be for Luck. The Colts have been on fire recently. Luck has 27 passing TDs in his last eight games. The Jags defense is not the same this year and the team as a whole has been imploding. There is a chance Ramsey misses this game as well, which would bode well for luck and Hilton. The Colts are fighting for a playoff spot and this is a divisional game that means a lot to their season.
Spencer Ware (4000 DK / 5200 FD)
Ware is a free square in cash games. This doesn’t need much explanation. You are getting the starting RB on a team with an implied total of 35 at close to min price.
Aaron Jones (6700 DK / 7600 FD)
Over the last four weeks, Jones is one of only eight RBs who has accounted for 40 percent of their team’s total touches. This increase in involvement is extremely encouraging for a guy with this level of talent. The game script and matchup should also be there this week as the Packers are 14 point home favorites against a Cardinals D who has been gashed by the run all season long.
Todd Gurley (9300 DK / 9800 FD)
Everyone seems to be off Gurley and on CMC this week. This feels like point chasing to me. In cash, Gurley continues to have the safest floor. With Kupp off the field, Gurley has seen spikes in red zone targets. He did tweak his ankle against KC in the shootout which led to less involvement. However, he was still extremely efficient with his touches. He got a bye week to rest up and he should be ready to go here against the Lions. I have a hunch this is a signature Gurley three TD game.
Philip Lindsay (5400 DK)
Lindsay is more of a cash play on DK due to pricing. He is priced up slightly more on FD. However, the matchup is the best on paper this week. He has been extremely efficient with his touches this year as well averaging 5.8 yards per carry. This is a spot where Lindsay could have a big day.
Kenny Golladay (6700 DK / 7300 FD)
Golladay is becoming one of the safest WRs on a weekly basis. With the injuries to the Lions pass catchers, Golladay is being force-fed elite volume as he has seen eight, 15 and 13 targets in the last three weeks. The Rams have given up points in bunches recently, but they do get Aqib Talib back this week and he should likely help limit the Detroit offense. I still like Golladay to have a pretty big day here.]
Chris Godwin (3900 DK / 5400 FD)
With DJax ruled out, this is a nuts spot for Godwin. Over the last four weeks, the Bucs routes run have been as follows:
- Evans – 123
- Humphries – 107
- Jackson – 98
- Godwin – 59
Humphries has played 80.4 percent in the slot over the last four weeks as well. This means Godwin and Jackson have been splitting time and eating into each other. Jackson is utilized more between the 20s, while Godwin is the red zone threat. Godwin is tied with Evans for the team lead in red zone targets, however now he gets the extra role of being involved between the 20s. This Carolina secondary is overrated and this is a great spot for Goodwin to hit his ceiling.
Travis Kelce (7000 DK / 7800 FD)
There is enough value this week that you can stack Kelce with Mahomes. I will never argue with you paying up for a top 3 TE since the cheaper TEs have really struggled to do anything this year.
Eric Ebron (4200 DK / 5600 FD)
In cash, if you are paying in the mid-range, Ebron is your guy. With Doyle out, Ebron is going to be thrust into the main TE role and we know Luck loves to target TEs. As mentioned in the Luck blurb, the Jags are imploding and this should be a spot where the Colts put up points. A Luck + Ebron stack is chalky but is a good start to cash lineups.
Matt LaCosse (2500 DK / 4700 FD)
If you want to punt the TE position, LaCosse is your guy. He should slot right in for Heuermann who was leading the Broncos in red zone targets this season before getting injured. LaCosse is a big bodied athletic TE who has been somewhat involved recently, but now he gets the main role. I expect him to have a good outing against a bad Bengals defense.
Bears D (3300 DK / 4800 FD)
The Bears have been one of the best real life defenses this year, but have also scored the most fantasy points. They are constantly putting up double digits. The Giants struggle when there is pressure on Eli. I expect there to be a lot of pressure on Eli in this one. If you have the salary, the Bears are your team to pay up for.
Falcons D (2400 DK / 3500 FD)
This is probably an island take this week across the industry. I don’t think many people will be on the Falcons D. However, let me sell them to you. Lamar has done nothing through the air in his first two starts and they were the two best matchups for passing he could have possibly had. He was also playing those games at home. His value comes from his legs. One of the biggest pieces of injury news this week was Deion Jones being activated as he is one of the fastest LBs in the NFL and is the key to the Falcons defense. Pair that with Lamar making his first start on the road and you have a potential for mistakes to be made and drives to be limited.
Matt Dickason has been playing DFS NFL, MLB and NBA for 3 years now. I have been in season long football leagues since the age of 10, so football has always been a passion of mine. Outside of fantasy sports, I played baseball for 19 years including college and eventually Semi-Pro. MLB and NFL are my two strongest sports when it comes to betting and DFS.