We kicked off a modest slate yesterday and went 7-11 in our prop plays, highlighted by Karl Anthony Towns again proving why he’s one of the hottest players available right now each and every night. Towns has won us money each of the last 5 times we have bet on him, and if you aren’t on his bandwagon (in terms of prop plays) then you need to hop on board. Today we have another slate full of quality plays, let’s get right to the breakdown.
The Player Props are taken from FanDuel and DraftKings. If you have any questions about the changing lines, please shoot me over some questions at @xavierjwarner on Twitter and I’ll be glad to help.
Pick History – 161 for 312 (52%)
Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks
Bradley Beal O 39.5 PTS+REB+AST
Bradley Beal O 2.5 Threes -138
Beal has been on a roll as of late hitting all the props we choose for him on a consistent basis. He is one of the guys I love finding value with, since without Wall he has been the big shot taker and maker for the Wizards. Over the last ten games, he has finished with at least 40 PTS+REB+AST in seven of those games. He has been a driving for the Wizards over the past month and that doesn’t stop here. The Mavericks have a formidable interior threat in Powell, but Beal is going to get it going form the outside tonight and constantly knock down open shots against the Mavericks that currently allow 32.1 3PT shot attempts per game (ranks 16th in NBA, According to TeamRankings.com). Fire up Beal in this one and don’t look back.
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
Kemba Walker O 24.5 PTS -122
Kemba is going up against a Miami defense that has tons of length around the perimeter and ranks in the top three of scoring defense this season, 106.6 OPPG. But the last two times Kemba has played the Heat he has had some relative success, even though one game was much better than the other.
Kemba dominated their October 30th matchup to the tune of 39/5/7 but had a fairly underwhelming day in their second meeting but I’m going to attribute that to the low shot total (16 total shots), what Tony Parker (24 PTS/11 AST), Nicolas Batum (20 PTS/ 7 REB) and Malik Monk (20 PTS) did on that night. Kemba received a lot of help from teammates that night and since Monk is no longer in the rotation and Parker has played less and less minutes since the beginning of the season, there’s a good chance Kemba finds more opportunities to score.
Cody Zeller O 10.5 PTS -130
11 points or more in seven of the last ten games for Zeller is nothing to scoff at. Zeller has been dialed in since returning from his injury (I sound like a broken record, but it’s very true). Zeller has been ultra-consistent for us. I like his odds of hitting the threshold here even if Hassan Whiteside is around, I don’t expect him to be as effective as he’s been over the past two to three seasons. He only played 13 minutes in Monday night’s game against the Hawks.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons
Karl Anthony Towns O 27.5 PTS -104
Karl Anthony Towns O 12.5 REB -110
Karl Anthony Towns O 1.5 Threes -196
Karl Anthony Towns O 42.5 PTS+REB+AST -112
KAT is back and has been lighting in a bottle for us. I am going to eat up these KAT props if he continues what he has been doing and I don’t think Detroit has enough to keep him at bay. In his past 5 games he has been absolutely brilliant on the offensive end. He has shot a high percentage from the field (51%), over 30 points in four games (1 game with 28) and 13 plus rebounds in four games. it is all clicking for KAT recently and I’ll be damned if I miss out on that production. Let him prove me wrong, but as long as he is performing as he has recently, I’m with the move!
Luke Kennard O 11.5 PTS -110
Kennard, even though he’s from Duke, has been a pleasure to watch this season. In the last five games, Kennard has scored 12 or more points in four of those. In the previous meet up with the Timberwolves, Luke submitted the following line:
He only played 19 minutes and in that game but has seen an increase in minutes recently and that is because of such quality play. Kennard has shot very efficiently from the field and I’m buying in on this consistency.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets
Spencer Dinwiddie O 14.5 PTS -122
Dinwiddie is back from injury and has been a quality contributor for the Nets. He has only been back for three games and has scored at least 15 points in 2 of those three while getting back into the swing of things in the NBA. The Cavaliers are not a good basketball team and the Nets should be able to hold a quality lead, which would in turn allow Spencer to contribute more and more as the game continues to progress.
Kevin Love O 2.5 Threes +112
My reasoning is simple here. Love has hit at least three 3PT field goals in each of the last 5 games since returning from injury. I think his opportunities will be there and going up against the Nets who relinquish 10.1 3PT made per game and although that ranks in the Top 5 throughout the NBA, they are only separated by roughly 2 threes a game from last place (Milwaukee, 12.5).