NBA Morning Thoughts 12.05.18

NBA Morning Thoughts 12.05.18

There’s a 10-game NBA DFS slate tonight, so let’s get right to it…

Golden State Warriors @ Cleveland Cavaliers (o/u 233.5, GS -11)

Golden State is 18th in defensive rating, 28th in pace.

Cleveland is 30th in defensive rating, 15th in pace.

The Warriors face the worst defensive team in the NBA tonight. Though the Cavs are improving a bit defensively, this game carries loads of blowout concern. Draymond Green remains OUT.

Steph Curry and Kevin Durant should always be considered vs a terrible defensive team, but I’m not so sure this one stays close enough for either to be worth their price. Still, because it is a strong matchup both are considered good GPP targets.

Klay Thompson can also be considered in GPPs, but I’m not actively trying to fit Klay into my lineups.

The trio of Jordan Bell, Jonas Jerebko, and Kevon Looney all remains decent value bigs on both sites. It’s not the pace-up spot like it was vs Atlanta, but all three play enough to warrant considering. Looney is the safest of the three, as it seems Steve Kerr trusts him the most.

Targeting the Warriors is a decent strategy, especially in a potential blowout. They tend to play looser in these games, which leads to less aggressive defense and more turnovers. Unfortunately for the Cavs, they play a long rotation, minimizing my interest in targeting them.

Since he was traded from Utah, Alec Burks has played 23, 26, and 28 minutes. Coach Larry Drew has implemented him early and his production has been fairly ok. Burks is blowout proof so the minutes will be there regardless. He’s a strong value SG worth considering.

Another value on Cleveland worth considering is George Hill. Ew. Yeah, I know. Still, Hill played 35 minutes last game, and is priced at $4100 on FD and $3700 on DK.

With his price up and Curry back looking to expose bigs on the perimeter, I’m not interested in Tristan Thompson. I do think this is a sneaky spot for Larry Nance Jr, as he’s blowout-proof but more importantly his athleticism makes him a better defensive matchup. Still, Nance is strictly a GPP target.