NBA Morning Thoughts 12.03.18

NBA Morning Thoughts 12.03.18

A new week of NBA DFS is upon us! It’s a smaller-than-normal Monday slate, but it’s shaping up to be one of my favorites of the early season. There are a lot of appealing matchups and targets. Let’s get right to it…

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Detroit Pistons (o/u 220.5, OKC -1.5)

Oklahoma City is 1st in defensive rating, 9th in pace.

Detroit is 8th in defensive rating, 20th in pace.

The Thunder head to Detroit to play a Pistons team that has won five straight games. I don’t particularly view this as a pace-down game for OKC, but it’s not an ideal matchup.

At first glance this isn’t the best spot for Russell Westbrook, but I like him here. Russ loves to attack the glass and the Pistons are one of the least efficient teams in the NBA, ranking 25th in the NBA in TS%. It’s rare to expect a big rebounding day out of a PG, but it’s especially important for Russ’s fantasy production, as he LOVES to push the tempo when he grabs a board. That usually means a bucket or an assist for him.

One area where you can attack the Pistons is at center. Priced at $7300 on FD and $6400 on DK, Steven Adams is firmly in play. As good of a rebounder as Drummond is, he’s a bad low-post defender.

Because of the Pistons defensive ability, I’d rather spend elsewhere than on Paul George.

Currently the Thunder boast the best defense in the NBA, so this is a bad matchup for the Pistons.

Blake Griffin is the only Piston on my radar, as I think his size will be difficult for Jerami Grant to defend in the low post. Griffin is a tricky DFS target as he’s pricey and produces well in three categories, but he has zero defensive upside. Blake hasn’t registered a steal or a block in six straight games, which is impressively inept. Still, this is an interesting spot for Blake, as he tends to play up to his competition.

If you’re looking for a punt at PG, Ish Smith is priced at $3700 on FD and $3500 on DK.

Drummond is a monster and I get the Reggie Jackson revenge game narrative, but this is a tough spot for both. I’d rather spend elsewhere.