NBA Morning Thoughts 11.30.18

NBA Morning Thoughts 11.30.18

We’ve got an 11-game NBA DFS slate on our hands. Let’s dive right into it…

Chicago Bulls @ Detroit Pistons (o/u 217, DET -9.5)

Chicago is 21st in defensive rating, 15th in pace.

Detroit is 12th in defensive rating, 19th in pace.

The Bulls have surprised me of late, especially on the offensive end. They are no longer a Zach LaVine-centric NBA DFS team. The Pistons are a mediocre matchup for them.

Jabari Parker has been balling, and is still priced appealingly. I’d expect Parker to be a fairly popular target tonight considering his recent production. Parker always carries some risk, but he’s been over 38 FP’s in each of his last five outings.

Justin Holiday continue to play MASSIVE minutes at a decent price. I’ve bought into the Holiday hype train, and I think it continues. His $6k FD price and $5400 DK price are both totally fine. You can attack the Pistons on the wing.

I was touting him before he was consistently starting, but I’m officially off of the Ryan Arcidiacono hype train at his elevated price of $5500 on FD. On DK, Arcidiacono is still safe to target at $4400.

Weeks ago Zach LaVine was the first and only Bull I’d talk about, but it’s now a new Bulls era! LaVine continues to be a rock-solid expensive option at SG. His usage rate gives him the high floor we look for in cash games.

The Pistons get a Bulls team that has improved a touch defensively, but are still not good by any means.

After probably the worst game I’ve ever seen Andre Drummond play, he is back on my radar tonight with an elite matchup vs the Bulls, who get torched by bigs. Drummond’s $9300 price on DK is WAY too cheap for a center who carries 20-20 upside on any given night. Drummond is a strong target on FD, and an elite target on DK.

Blake Griffin is the opposite of Drummond in terms of what site to target him at. On FD, Blake is too cheap at $9100 with an elite matchup. The $9600 on DK is fine, but I’d rather target Drummond at his price there.

Reggie Jackson has been over 30 fantasy points in his last three games, which is a rare feat of consistency for him. It’s a strong matchup, and I’m fine with targeting Jackson. But I think it’s still hard to trust him.

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