NBA Morning Thoughts 11.28.18

NBA Morning Thoughts 11.28.18

It’s Wednesday and Trey Burke has officially made my list. After last night’s tricky and fairly gross NBA slate, we get a fun 10-gamer, highlighted by the DFS gift that is Wizards vs Pelicans. Let’s get right to it …

New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers (o/u 227.5, PHI -12)

New York is 25th in defensive rating, 18th in pace.

Philadelphia is 16th in defensive rating, 7th in pace.

Dave Fizdale has proven time and again he’s not scared to mix up the Knicks rotation, and last night was another great example, which adds to the risk of targeting Knicks players. Philly has struggled a bit on the defensive end since the Jimmy Butler trade, so it’s an ok matchup for the Knicks.

Since returning to the starting lineup, Enes Kanter has done what Enes Kanter does: Rebound and score. He’s priced up a touch on FD at $8000, and still a bit low on DK at $6800. Kanter is a really strong target as long as he’s starting and playing around 30 minutes. He has some foul trouble and Fizdale risk.

I was fairly confident the one Knick who was immune to Fizdale’s in-game tweaks was Tim Hardaway Jr. I was wrong, as Hardaway sat for most of the fourth in last night’s game. I don’t think this is a trend that will continue, so Hardaway as always is a decent middle priced option at SG.

I’m fine with targeting any of Emmanuel Mudiay, Trey Burke, and Allonzo Trier, but I’d be lying if I told you I knew who would get the majority of the run. It seems as if Mudiay has the most stable minutes at around 22. Whichever of the two between Burke and Trier is scoring seems to get the majority of the run. But because of price, Trier is the safest.

There’s always foul trouble risk, but the upside remains for Noah Vonleh. His price is a little scary but the Sixers have been exposed by PF’s thus far in the year.

For the Sixers, they get a Knicks team who has been brutal on the defensive end. There is some blowout potential with the Knicks being on a second of a back to back, and the game being played in Philadelphia.

He’s the priciest but Joel Embiid remains a rock solid option at center in NBA DFS because of his high floor and decent upside. I do have some blowout concerns.

Although it’s a strong matchup, it’s hard for me to go with Jimmy Butler or Ben Simmons, as after a string of decent performances both are priced up. On an 10-game slate, I’d rather spend elsewhere.

Wilson Chandler continues to see really strong minutes at a very low price on both sites. His production from a per-minute basis has not been good, but Chandler is an ok value option because of the minutes he plays.