NBA Morning Thoughts 02.01.19

NBA Morning Thoughts 02.01.19

Well…Did anything big happen in the NBA yesterday? We have a rather small five-game NBA DFS slate to kick off the month of February. Let’s get right to it…

Memphis Grizzlies @ Charlotte Hornets (o/u 206.5, CHA -4.5)
Memphis is 7th in defensive rating, 30th in pace.

Charlotte is 21st in defensive rating, 19th in pace.

This is a fairly gross matchup featuring two of the slower paced teams in the NBA. The Hornets are also a bad defensive team, so I have some intrigue in Grizzlies players.

Mike Conley has been balling of late, going for 40+ fantasy points in four of his last five games while also seeing slightly higher minutes. Not surprisingly, Conley jumped onto the injury report with a sore knee, so this is a situation we have to monitor. If Conley plays, he’s priced appealingly at $7900 on DK and is usable on FD at $8500. If Conley can’t go, Shelvin Mack would become an elite value PG while Jevon Carter would become his GPP pivot.

With Memphis thin at the wing, Kyle Anderson should continue to see 30+ minutes. Anderson is usable on FD priced at $5600, but is incredibly appealing at his $4400 DK price tag. If Conley can’t go Anderson would see a slight usage bump with already strong minutes. His $4400 is cheap.

Interestingly, it appears Bruno Caboclo is now one year away from being one year away…I think. But still, Bruno has been seeing minutes for Memphis with Casspi and Temple out, and he’s produced fairly well. Bruno is super long and that length plays off with his defensive upside. Priced under $4k, and if in the 25-30 minute range, I’d have some interest in Bruno as a GPP value dart.

I’m not really interested in Marc Gasol tonight, I don’t think he’s over or under-priced, I just prefer spending elsewhere.

For Charlotte, this is a less than ideal matchup because of the pace the Grizzlies play at. I don’t really have much interest in any Hornets players.

If you’re desperate for Charlotte exposure the Grizzlies rank 22nd in the NBA in DvP vs PGs over the last 15 games, putting Kemba Walker in play as an interesting GPP target. I’m not forcing Kemba into any of my lines. But in 20 max GPPs, if playing 20 lineups, I’d want some Kemba exposure.

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