NBA Morning Thoughts 01.31.19

NBA Morning Thoughts 01.31.19

We have a star-driven, six-game NBA DFS slate on our hands, highlighted by a potential NBA Finals preview where the 76ers head to Golden State, and a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview between the Raptors and the Bucks. With all of the stars on a smallish slate, here are my top targets…

Steph Curry (FD $9200, DK $8900) vs Ben Simmons (FD $9500, DK $8600)

We start off the night with one of the hardest questions on the slate, Curry or Simmons? Simmons is appropriately more expensive on FD because of his defensive upside, while Curry is appropriately more expensive then Simmons because of his 3PT upside. I think a lot of people will flock to Simmons in this spot and lean Durant at SF. I prefer targeting Curry here. We’ve seen Curry stuff the stat sheet in intense, high-paced game environments like the one that will be featured tonight, and playing at home typically helps shooters. The argument against Curry is DeMarcus Cousins. Curry has taken the biggest usage hit since Boogie returned, seeing an 8% drop. Still, I think this is a matchup where Chef Curry gets cooking and with this game likely to stay close throughout we could see Curry hit his true ceiling at a down price.

*Note: I like Simmons too, and would consider him an elite target, as the pace of this game should lead to production across the board. This is a close 1 vs 1, so if you’re on Simmons and OFF Curry, trust your gut. Production is there for both.