NBA Morning Thoughts 01.23.19

NBA Morning Thoughts 01.23.19

We have a loaded, 10-game NBA DFS slate with a TON to go over. Let’s get right to it…

Toronto Raptors @ Indiana Pacers (o/u 219.5, IND -4)

Toronto is 9th in defensive rating, 16th in pace.

Indiana is 2nd in defensive rating, 23rd in pace.

The Raptors head to Indiana on the second night of a back to back, and Kawhi Leonard is still exhausted! While at this point it’s comedic that Kawhi will rest his fourth game in a row, the positive is at least we are aware about it beforehand. In terms of the matchup, this is a tough spot for Toronto vs an elite Pacers defense. While the Pacers have slightly sped things up, they still play at a bottom 10 pace in the NBA.

With Kawhi OFF the court Kyle Lowry is averaging 1.29 FD PPM – 1.32 DK PPM while seeing a 6.44% usage bump. Per 36 minutes, Lowry is averaging 46.5 FD points – 47.5 DK points. It’s important to note those metrics are for when Kawhi is OFF the court in any game whether he plays or not, not just games Kawhi has played zero minutes. Still, that is a noticeable production bump for Lowry and priced at $7500 on FD and $7200 on DK, Lowry is firmly worth considering.

Serge Ibaka and Pascal Siakam also see a nice production bump with Kawhi off the court. Ibaka sees a 5.86% usage increase while Siakam sees his minutes locked into the 34-ish range, which leads to greater production. Both are in play ONLY because of the Kawhi news, otherwise I’d stay away because of the matchup. Based off of recent production, I prefer Siakam.

I’m off on Fred VanVleet and the rest of the Raptors values. I don’t think any are worth the risk. If you’re desperate for Raptors value, my sworn enemy CJ Miles has been on fire over his last three games. He’s a usable punt against his former team.

For the Pacers, with Kawhi out, you would think that would improve this matchup for them. But surprisingly the Raptors have been a better team in games Kawhi has not played. It’s important to note that the Raptors typically rest Kawhi vs bad teams.

After a string of passive performances, Victor Oladipo announced to reporters that he HAS to be more aggressive on the offensive end. In his first game since those comments Dipo did show signs of improvement, thus leading to a better fantasy performance. Oladipo is still priced down in a slight pace-up spot: $7800 on FD and $7700 on DK is attractive for him. I have some serious Dipo GPP intrigue here, as I expect to see a super-aggressive Dipo at home vs a top Eastern Conference opponent.

The only other Pacer I have some interest in is Myles Turner. Turner is priced fairly on FD at $7200, but feels a bit cheap on DK at $6800. With other more reliable centers on the slate, Turner is strictly a GPP target, but that being said he has some serious upside at both of his prices. The Raptors have also been a bottom 10 team in the NBA vs opposing bigs.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics (o/u 216, BOS -17.5)

Cleveland is 30th in defensive rating, 29th in pace.

Boston is 5th in defensive rating, 18th in pace.

We can breeze past this game as the Celtics open up as 17.5 home favorites vs the worst team in the NBA. Over the last 15 games the Cavs have a -18 net rating, while the Celtics have a +5.5 net rating, I fully expect a blowout here and you should too.

I have no interest in any Cavs players, as they are in a brutal matchup and play a ton of guys 20 to 27 minutes per game. Ante Zizic is usable on both sites, but not nearly the appealing target he was with his price up. Zizic is a “7 minutes to go in the 4th quarter down 25” superstar, I just don’t think he’s worth that risk at $5600 on FD and $6000 on DK now.

UPDATE (12:02pm ET) – Kyrie Irving OUT

This doesn’t come as much of a surprise that Kyrie will sit vs the worst team in the NBA. Of course now the other Celtics become a bit chalky. It’s tough to face Terry Rozier at his down price on both sites. I’m aware Rozier flopped the last game he started but still, I wouldn’t fade him. Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown see a decent usage bump and are now intriguing values. Marcus Morris surprisingly see’s one of the larger usage bump at +6.2%. Below are the per minute differentials for the Celtics with Kyrie and Horford OFF the court.

Al Horford is OUT for Boston, which opens up some value at center with Aron Baynes. Baynes won’t play a ton, but at $3700 on FD and $3500 on DK Baynes provides some safe value and cap relief. Robert Williams on the other hand is an interesting GPP punt, as he should see some run as this game gets out of hand.

While Kyrie Irving has been balling of late, and sees a 2% usage bump with Horford OFF the court. I’m not interested in paying up for Kyrie as I’m not even sure we get three full quarters from him, and this is the perfect game for him to coast throughout.

Marcus Morris, however, is a cheap PF worth considering, as he sees a +.21 point per minute bump on both sites and a 4.38% usage bump with Horford OFF the court. His $5300 on FD and $5000 on DK are safe prices. I don’t love Morris here but he’s a safe target.

I’m off on the rest of the Celtics, unless Brad Stevens thinks it’s apropos to rest some of his other regulars vs an inferior opponent.

Houston Rockets @ New York Knicks (o/u 226.5, HOU -7)

Houston is 25th in defensive rating, 21st in pace.

New York is 29th in defensive rating, 14th in pace.

The Rockets find themselves in an elite matchup vs a Knicks team that has become one of THE teams to attack in NBA DFS, as their defensive rating has plummeted and their pace has gone up.

Play James Harden tonight. This one isn’t Rocket science (see what I did there). This is an ELITE matchup for Harden, who continues his historic run of production. The Sixers blew out the Rockets during his last game, and frustrated Harden by constantly doubling him, but we don’t have to worry about that vs these Knicks and their pathetic defense. I love playing stars at the Garden and Harden certainly fits that bill. The $13500 on FD and $13400 on DK is honestly too cheap for him in this spot, target him with confidence.

PS. Seriously, play Harden tonight, especially in cash games. Just for fun, Harden is averaging 66.14 FD and 69.28 DK points per 36 minutes and has an insane usage rating of 48.04% with Chris Paul and Clint Capela OFF the court the last 30 days. Harden typically plays more than 36 minutes and the Knicks matchup should boost those numbers.

Because of the Knicks matchup I have some interest in Eric Gordon at $5300 on FD and $5700 on DK. Gordon is a borderline elite target at his FD price, as he sees a +.39 FD and +.43 DK point per minute bump with a 6.21% usage bump with Capela and Paul OFF the court.

While his price is up I remain interested in Kenneth Faried tonight, priced at $5000 on FD and $4400 on DK. Sure, Faried carries some risk, as his minutes are a bit of an unknown. But I think he sees a few more minutes in his second game as a Rocket, and he should be all over the boards vs the Knicks, who are 30th in the NBA in true shooting percentage.

The Knicks also find themselves in a good spot, as the Rockets have been an even worse defensive team with Paul OUT of the lineup.

With Luke Kornet OUT, Enes Kanter is expected to hop back into the starting lineup and with that Kanter becomes an elite target at center, priced at $6200 on FD and $5000(!) on DK. The issue with Kanter is ALWAYS his minutes. Even if he’s only in the 25 minute range, Kanter has a real chance to smash his price vs the undersized Rockets. I’d expect Kanter to be a heavily owned target when you consider the size of this slate, and the amount of intriguing centers available. Kanter’s risk is the Rockets small-ball PJ Tucker at the 5 lineup, which could force Fizdale to go small.

With that, Mitchell Robinson is a decent GPP risk at center. Robinson is a strong per minute producer who should see anywhere from 15-25 minutes. He’s a huge risk, but someone who has the potential to smash his value.

With Kornet out, Noah Vonleh SHOULD be in line for big minutes. I capitalize “should,” as Fizdale has been a nightmare to predict all year. Vonleh’s production has been impressive when the minutes are there, and his price is appealing at $5400 on FD and $5800 on DK.

The Knicks backcourt rotation is a mess. Allonzo Trier has seen 25+ minutes in back to back games, which has also led to a price increase. Trier is fine to target and my favorite of the Knicks backcourt, but I don’t exactly trust him. The same can be said about all Knicks guards.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Miami Heat (o/u 217, MIA -5)

Los Angeles is 21st in defensive rating, 9th in pace.

Miami is 6th in defensive rating, 21st in pace.

Over the last 15 games the Heat are ranked third in defensive rating and 29th(!) in pace. There has clearly been a philosophy change in Miami, and that is to slow the game down. This is a brutal matchup for the Clippers, who are playing on the road and on a second night of a back to back.

I’m off on all Clippers players tonight. I just don’t think any are worth paying up for in this matchup. If you’re desperate for Clippers exposure, I could suggest Lou Williams, as the Heat have struggled vs primary ball handling scoring guards. But with Lou Will just coming back from injury and factoring in the back to back, no thank you.

On the contrary, this is an elite spot for Miami Heat players, as the Clippers continue to push the pace of the game, which has negatively affected their overall defense. The issue with targeting Heat players is they have the deepest rotation in the NBA, and Erik Spoelstra seems to mix and match his rotation on a nightly basis.

The Clippers really struggle to defend opposing PGs and the Heat’s de-facto PG since Goran Dragic got hurt has been Justise Winslow. But here’s the deal: The emergence of Dion Waiters over the last two games has seen Winslow take a slight minutes and production hit. Winslow is the much safer target, and Waiters has some interesting GPP appeal. I don’t mind either in this spot.

The man with the most consistent minutes on the Heat is Josh Richardson, and in an elite matchup sometimes it’s worth just taking the most consistent player. This is a ceiling spot for Richardson as long as his minutes are in the 32+ range. JRich is a steals machine and the Clippers have ranked 20th in TOV% over their last 15 games, so +steals are a possibility.

Before I mention this next player, I would like to sincerely apologize in advance for what’s about to come. Yes, this is an elite spot for Hassan Whiteside. The Clippers are 30th(!), yes 30th in the NBA in DvP vs opposing centers, and Whiteside is priced low at $6800 on FD and $6000 on DK. Coach Spo hates him and his minutes have been brutal, but even in 20-25 minutes Whiteside can smash that price. He’s a GPP ONLY target but a pretty damn interesting one.

With that same logic, this is an interesting spot to target Bam Adebayo. While Spo hates Whiteside, he seems to like Bam. Bam continues to play 25ish minutes a game, and priced at $5500 on FD and $4600 on DK, Bam provides interesting upside in an elite matchup. Theoretically Bam is a better matchup vs Montrezl Harrell, as both are undersized and mobile, though I think Trez starting for the Clippers could in turn hurt Bam a touch. Still, I like Bam here and you should too. He’s the much safer option if looking to attack the Clippers at center.

Orlando Magic @ Brooklyn Nets (o/u 217, BK -6.5)

Orlando is 15th in defensive rating, 26th in pace.

Brooklyn is 19th in defensive rating, 19th in pace.

The Magic head to Brooklyn to face the surging Nets, who are 8-2 in their last 10 games. In terms of the matchup, yes, Brooklyn is an improved defensive team of late, but we also know the Barclays Center is where fantasy production comes to thrive. This is a decent spot for Magic players.

One of my favorite sights to see on any given day: Nikola Vucevic vs the Brooklyn Nets. You already know what I’m going to say but I’m going to say it anyway — TARGET CENTERS VS THE NETS. Vuc is priced up on FD at $9900 and on DK at $9300, but I have no issues with targeting him in that range tonight. Vuc is a max NBA player vs the Nets. He’s an elite target.

Aaron Gordon is expected to be back for this one. I have some interest in Gordon, who is priced down at $6400 on FD with no dramatic price change on DK at $6700. Both are fine prices for Gordon, who is a borderline elite target on FD if he isn’t on a minutes limit.

Because Gordon is back, I have minimal interest in the rest of the Magic players. DJ Augustin is usable, as the Nets have given up big games vs PGs, but I don’t trust him at all.

For the Nets, the Magic are a fairly annoying team to attack because while I don’t fear them in the slightest defensively, their slow pace limits opposing teams production.

D’Angelo Russell has been awesome of late, and with that he has become a steady fantasy producer. While at first glance DLo’s upped $8600 FD and $8000 DK price tag is outrageous, I don’t think he’s overpriced, as Russell is capable of putting up another 50 burger like he did in his last game vs Orlando. Here’s the deal: Can we trust DLo at that price? Not particularly, but I love seeing his 30.45 usage rating his last 14 games. The Nets are riding him and that’s translating into elite fantasy production.

With the Nets deep rotation it’s always risky trying to target them on large slates. I don’t think any are particularly worth the risk. Spencer Dinwiddie, Jarrett Allen, and Joe Harris always carry some GPP appeal.

Detroit Pistons @ New Orleans Pelicans (o/u 221, DET -4)

Detroit is 12th in defensive rating, 22nd in pace.

New Orleans is 26th in defensive rating, 5th in pace.

The Pistons are in an elite spot facing one of my favorite teams to attack in the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans play fast with bad defense, which is the perfect recipe for DFS production. One key question for the Pistons: Does Andre Drummond play? Drummond is still not out of the concussion protocol, so I would list him closer to doubtful.

If Drummond can’t go, Blake Griffin would remain an elite target. I’m not overly concerned about Blake’s price on either site, as Blake sees a 7.82% usage bump with Griffin OFF the court, as well as averaging +.16 more FD and DK points per minute. Those numbers get a bump with an elite matchup vs the Pelicans, so target Blake with confidence.

Another beneficiary if Drummond were forced to miss this game would be Zaza Pachulia. While the production wasn’t great for Zaza last game, the minutes were still there and his price is still cheap. Zaza would be a strong value center worth considering.

A usable cheap SG/SF in play is Luke Kennard. Kennard sees a surprisingly high production bump with Drummond OFF the court, as his usage goes up 6.45%. Kennard is a super cheap punt worth considering.

This is an elite spot for Reggie Jackson. But I’ve learned over the years that I’d rather have to play nine Hassan Whiteside’s than have one Reggie Jackson in my lineup.

This is a pace-down spot for the Pelicans, especially if Drummond can’t go, as the Pistons on average lose around two more possessions per game with Drummond OUT. Anthony Davis remains OUT.

I’m leading off with Jahlil Okafor and why I will not be playing him. Gentry and Okafor himself SHOCKED me his last game out, playing 35(!) minutes and producing really well. I don’t think those sort of minutes are sustainable and I especially don’t think that sort of production will last. I’m not chasing Okafor’s points at his elevated $5500 FD and $4600 DK price tag.

Now to the good stuff. Nikola Mirotic is cheap at $6700 on FD, and priced fairly on DK at $7000. With Davis OFF the court Mirotic sees a 5.66% usage bump and averages 43.31 FD and 43.69 DK points per 36 minutes. I expect Miro to be right in that 32-36 minute range tonight. He’s one of my favorite targets, as I think he will go under owned with most reacting to Okafor’s huge last game.

Julius Randle also continues to be an obvious beneficiary with Anthony Davis out. The issue with Randle is his price, as his $8900 on FD and $8400 on DK is arguably too much. Still, even at those increased prices, Randle remains a borderline elite target, as we’ve all experienced what he’s capable of when Davis is out.

If you’re in the need for a rock-solid cash game target on DK, Jrue Holiday fits that bill at $8600. His $9500 on FD is a bit too much for me though, as his high floor just isn’t worth that price.

Strictly as a GPP target, Elfrid Payton carries some appeal. I loved that Payton played 32 minutes in his last game, especially as he remains around $6k. The floor is nonexistent but Payton has legit 40+ point upside. The Pistons have struggled vs opposing PGs, too.

San Antonio Spurs @ Philadelphia 76ers (o/u 226, PHI -3.5)

San Antonio is 17th in defensive rating, 25th in pace.

Philadelphia is 10th in defensive rating, 7th in pace.

This is a bit of an impossible game to figure out until we get more injury news from the Sixers, as both Ben Simmons and Jimmy Butler are officially listed as questionable. I also wouldn’t be shocked to see Joel Embiid pop up on the injury report with a sore back. In terms of the Sixers matchup for the Spurs, it’s an appealing pace-up spot vs a pretty good defensive team.

I always have some interest in DeMar DeRozan in pace-up games vs top teams, and this fits that bill. While DeRozan is priced down it’s tough to trust how healthy he is, especially after his string of poor performances. If he’s deemed fully healthy at some point today, DeRozan is too cheap on both sites.

LaMarcus Aldridge continues to smash and we can go right back to the well with him, as the Sixers have struggled to defend opposing bigs. Aldridge’s price is rock solid at $8200 on FD and $8300 on DK. I also expect Aldridge to be on the lower owned side today, as he’s not the easiest to fit into your builds. He’s a borderline elite target.

Interestingly enough Rudy Gay has played 28 and 33 minutes his last two games. I don’t trust him, but that warrants GPP consideration, and Pop typically plays Gay more minutes vs good teams. Davis Bertans also being unable to play will solidify Gay’s minutes.

This is actually a fairly tough spot for the Sixers, as the Spurs are ranked 10th in defensive rating over their last 10 games. I don’t think the Spurs are an elite defense, but there is clearly a concerted effort to improve as a team on defense. Of course the big issue for the Sixers are the statuses of Simmons and Butler.

If BOTH Simmons and Butler are OUT, Joel Embiid would become a super elite target, priced at $10800 on FD and $10500 on DK. Embiid sees a 5.61% usage bump and averages around 1.71 FD and DK points per minute with Simmons and Butler OFF the court. That’s around 61 FD and DK points per 36 minutes.

TJ McConnell would become an elite value PG, as he would see his minutes jump to around the 30 minute mark.

Depending on who they start, Corey Brewer or Furkan Korkmaz would be usable punts. JJ Redick would be a solid middle priced SG/SF.

If Butler is OUT and Simmons is IN, Embiid would still be considered an elite target, just not super elite, and Ben Simmons would join the conversation as a borderline elite target on DK, priced at $8700. Brewer/Kork would remain the same as above.

If Butler is IN and Simmons is OUT, I’d still have a lot of interest in Embiid. TJ McConnell would be a usable value PG, and Jimmy Butler would carry some intrigue. I just find it hard to trust Butler on this large of a slate.

If BOTH are IN, Embiid would be the only Sixer I’d actively try and target.

Charlotte Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies (o/u 210, MEM -1)

Charlotte is 20th in defensive rating, 17th in pace.

Memphis is 8th in defensive rating, 30th in pace.

This game doesn’t really do much for me, as the Hornets will travel to Memphis to face a suddenly “selling” Grizzlies slow paced team. The Grizz are a mess. I’m not afraid to attack them — I just don’t particularly want to pay up for anyone on Charlotte.

Kemba Walker is fine and the Grizzlies have given up some big games to opposing PGs on the year, but on this large of a slate that features Harden in an elite matchup, it’s hard to pay up for Kemba here.

I don’t trust either of the Hornets bigs, but Bismack Biyombo seems to be the most stable producer of the two. Still, this is not a great spot for him.

For the Grizzlies, they offer some ok middle priced guys, and the Hornets matchup is nothing to fear. I just don’t really want to target Conley or Gasol, as their names have just been thrusted into the trade conversation. This is a new situation for both, and it wouldn’t shock me to see both of their minutes drop a touch in order to ensure they don’t get hurt during trade discussions.

If Justin Holiday is going to continue to play around 30 minutes, Holiday is a super appealing option at $5k on FD and $3700 on DK. Holiday is an elite value on DK.

Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls (o/u 221.5, CHI -2.5)

Atlanta is 25th in defensive rating, 1st in pace.

Chicago is 24th in defensive rating, 24th in pace.

We have a classic matchup between two terrible teams in a DFS friendly matchup. For the Hawks, this is potentially a pace-down game, as the Bulls offensive philosophy quite frankly makes no sense and more importantly slows the pace down. Still, I expect the Hawks to be able to pay at their typically fast pace. One constant issue with targeting Hawks players is they continue to get healthier, so Lloyd Pierce’s deep rotation is back in effect.

One of my favorite positions to attack the Bulls is at center. Unfortunately, the Hawks split the minutes between Dewayne Dedmon and Alex Len, with Omari Spellman and John Collins picking up a few minutes at the 5 as well. I have no interest in Spellman. Dedmon and Len both carry some GPP appeal, but are tough to trust. It appears Dedmon is seeing the majority of the minutes, so I prefer him. Collins is the Hawks big I want, as this is a perfect spot for him to smash a bad team. Collins’ minutes have been trending down with Spellman in the rotation so he is a risk, but he’s a strong risk.

DeAndre Bembry’s appeal is dependent on Kevin Huerter’s status. If Huerter is a go, I’m off Bembry at his elevated price. If Huerter can’t go, Bembry remains a strong middle priced option at SF, as he should remain in that 27-32 minute range and his defensive upside is something worth coveting.

Huerter’s status also affects Taurean Prince. Prince is a sub $5k option on both sites, and that offers cap relief and upside. I expect Prince’s minutes to continue to rise as he fights his way back into the rotation after coming off an extended absence.

No Huerter would also open up some minutes for Jeremy Lin. Lin has GPP appeal at under $5k. I’m not particularly interested in Trae Young at his elevated price tag.

As mentioned on any slate the Hawks are featured in, they provide their opponents with a truly elite matchup, as they are first in pace, 25th in defensive rating, 30th in turnover percentage, and 21st in true shooting percentage. That means the Hawks play the most possessions in the NBA, are a bottom 5 defensive team, turn the ball over the most, and are an inefficient team shooting the ball. Basically, Atlanta has everything we like to see when attacking an opponent.

The Hawks pace and propensity for turning the ball over puts Kris Dunn on my radar. While Dunn has been especially frustrating to target of late, this is a ceiling spot for Dunn, as he’s a steals machine vs a turnover prone team. The Hawks poor defense and inefficiency should also lead to a bump in Dunn’s points, rebounds, and assists. This is an elite spot for Dunn.

It’s frustrating seeing Robin Lopez play 20 minutes per game on a young team that’s going nowhere, but that’s the situation we’re in. Lopez’s playing time takes production away from Bobby Portis and Lauri Markkanen. I like both a lot, and prefer Portis because of his cheaper price. If Lopez doesn’t start, I would consider both borderline elite targets.

What do we do with Zach LaVine? Ideally, this is the perfect spot to target LaVine, as he’s Chicago’s most gifted scorer in an elite pace-up game vs a bad defense. The problem is Jim Boylen and his inconsistent handling of LaVine’s minutes. I love the matchup for LaVine, but I hate his coach. I believe and I think most will believe that the matchup outweighs LaVine’s minutes. He’s a strong target who carries big upside if he’s in the 33-36 minute range.

Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz (o/u 217.5, UTA -3)

Denver is 11th in defensive rating, 27th in pace.

Utah is 4th in defensive rating, 14th in pace.

The Jazz continue to be the best defensive team in the NBA over the last month, making this a truly brutal matchup when considering Nuggets players. What makes the Nuggets trickier is that they are finally healthy, and have a plethora of options that eat into each other’s production.

The only interest I have in Nuggets players is Nikola Jokic, and that is strictly in GPP’s. Jokic will be extremely low owned and is in the one spot where the Jazz continue to give up big games. Gobert is a great defender but is attackable, especially in the post. Jokic is a production monster capable of producing vs anyone, so this is a sneaky good spot for him. Still, he’s a risk at his expensive price tag on a large slate.

While Gary Harris is incredibly cheap, he’s not targetable in my eyes until he’s back with the starters or Mike Malone defines his minutes limit in the mid 20’s.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets are doing the opposite of the Jazz, as they have regressed drastically defensively, ranking 27th in defensive rating over the last 15 games. This is a good spot to target Jazz players. The issue, however, is Ricky Rubio’s return and the rest of the Jazz are priced as if Rubio was out.

IF Rubio comes off the bench again, I’m interested in Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell has really excelled from a production standpoint as Utah’s “starting PG,” and he is the only player both sites have priced down with Rubio’s return. This is a good matchup to exploit too, as even before this poor run of Denver defense they struggled to contain opposing PGs.

If Ricky Rubio starts and isn’t on a minutes limit I would have interest in Rubio at $6300 on FD and $5500 on DK. Both are good prices.

I’m off on Rudy Gobert on FD, as he’s a bit too pricey for me. On DK, priced at $8200, Gobert is in play, especially if Rubio comes off the bench. The issue with Gobert is his matchup vs Jokic adds some foul trouble risk, and more importantly pushes Gobert just far enough away from the rim to limit some of his rebounding and defensive upside.

SUMMARY

Teams to Attack

Rockets, Knicks, Clippers, Nets, Pelicans, Hawks, Bulls

Blowout Potential

Cavs @ Celtics – Surprisingly the only game I have REAL blowout concerns over

Top Targets

*Note: – Not a ton of PGs + SFs but a lot of SGs with PG or SF eligibility on DK. Players listed at their FD position.

PG: Ben Simmons (if Butler OUT), Kyle Lowry, Kris Dunn, TJ McConnell (if Simmons OUT)

SG: James Harden, D’Angelo Russell (GPP), Jrue Holiday (DK Cash), Donovan Mitchell (if Rubio off bench), Victor Oladipo, Zach LaVine (GPP), Eric Gordon, Justin Holiday (DK)

SF: Nikola Mirotic, Justise Winslow, Rudy Gay

PF: Blake Griffin, Julius Randle, LaMarcus Aldridge, John Collins (GPP), Noah Vonleh, Bam Adebayo, Marcus Morris, Kenneth Faried

C: Joel Embiid, Nikola Vucevic, Hassan Whiteside (very GPP), Enes Kanter, Zaza Pachulia (if Drummond OUT), Aron Baynes

Good Luck!

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