NBA Morning Thoughts 01.09.19

NBA Morning Thoughts 01.09.19

We have a 10-game NBA DFS slate on our hands, highlighted by Harden vs Giannis. Let’s get right to it…

Indiana Pacers @ Boston Celtics (o/u 212.5, BOS -6.5)

Indiana is 2nd in defensive rating, 25th in pace.

Boston is 3rd in defensive rating, 19th in pace.

We start the slate off with two incredibly-talented defensive Eastern Conference foes. Overall, this is far from an NBA DFS friendly game, as the Pacers slow pace coupled with both teams strong defenses will lead to less efficient offense, but also less production across the board. For the Pacers, they are on the road for a second of a back to back, which is something that has not affected them much.

It’s important we monitor the status of Myles Turner. If Turner remains out we can target Domantas Sabonis with confidence. Sabonis is just flat out solid, and the production will be there regardless of the matchup if the minutes are there.

I don’t love him here but we’ve seen Indiana lean on Victor Oladipo more so on the offensive end vs top teams. Dipo is a pricey SG with a bad matchup on paper, but he carries some GPP appeal.

The Pacers are one of my least favorite teams to attack in the NBA, and the Celtics are one of my least favorite teams to target. I’m on board with fading all Celtics here, as their deep roster eats into their individual players’ production.

If you’re desperate for Celtics exposure, then I’d look to pay up for Kyrie Irving. Irving is priced down on both sites and tends to step up vs top Eastern Conference teams. The Pacers are one of the top teams in the NBA at defending opposing PGs, but Kyrie is Kyrie. He’s matchup proof.

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