NBA Morning Thoughts 01.04.19

NBA Morning Thoughts 01.04.19

We have a 10-game NBA DFS slate on our hands, so let’s get right to it …

Utah Jazz @ Cleveland Cavaliers (o/u 208, UTA -9)

Utah is 6th in defensive rating, 15th in pace.

Cleveland is 30th in defensive rating, 29th in pace.

We start off the slate with a fairly gross game, as the Jazz head to Cleveland to face the Cavs and their awful defense. This game will likely be played at a slow pace throughout, but what keeps some Jazz players in consideration is Cleveland’s 30th ranked defense. It’s important we monitor the status of Ricky Rubio, who is listed as questionable.

If Ricky Rubio can’t go, Dante Exum would likely start and become one of the top values on the slate. I’d prefer to target Exum in a pace friendly game environment, as his game isn’t best suited in the half-court. Still, it’s hard to ignore Exum at his sub $4k vs the Cavs if Rubio is out.

No Rubio would also give Donovan Mitchell a slight bump. Mitchell is strictly a GPP target for me, as his production has been poor at his price, yet he carries 40+ upside at around $7k vs a bad defensive team.

I want nothing to do with the Cavaliers tonight, and can confidently say they are a hard fade for me. With Tristan Thompson and Rodney Hood back healthy and Patrick McCaw part of the team the rotation is too crowded now. And that’s not even factoring in the brutal matchup vs the Jazz. No thank you, let’s move on.