NBA Cash Breakdown 11/28

NBA Cash Breakdown 11/28

NBA Cash Breakdown 11/28

Ten NBA games tonight and there are certainly plenty of options. This is actually somewhat difficult to narrow it down. We have the highest total game of the year in NO and WAS which is sitting at 241. That is just insane. The lowest O/U tonight is 214. So. Many. Options. Let’s try and parse through some of it. 

DraftKings 

Point Guard Shooting Guard Small Forward  Power Forward  Center 
Russell Westbrook James Harden Giannis Antetokounmpo Anthony Davis Joel Embiid
John Wall Jrue Holiday Paul George Montrezl Harrell Nikola Vucevic
Dennis Smith Jr. Bradley Beal Otto Porter  Nikola Mirotic DeAndre Ayton
D.J. Augustin  Donovan Mitchell Justin Holiday  Julius Randle Tristan Thompson

FanDuel 

Point Guard Shooting Guard Small Forward  Power Forward  Center 
Russell Westbrook James Harden Giannis Antetokounmpo Anthony Davis Joel Embiid
John Wall Jrue Holiday Paul George Montrezl Harrell Nikola Vucevic
Dennis Smith Bradley Beal Otto Porter Jerami Grant Julius Randle
D.J. Augustin  Justin Holiday  Jonathan Simmons Marvin Williams  Tristan Thompson 

Core 4

John Wall (DK $9,100) (FD $9,300) 

Very fair price on both sites and obviously the game environment is elite here. Like I mentioned in the opening, this is the highest O/U on the year, and I am just going to want to jam as much of this hame into cash games as possible. Wall exploded against the Rockets, scoring 36 actual points to go with 11 assists for a DK output of 59.75. He is right around the salary where I feel comfortable playing him, and I just don’t really see a reason why not to tonight. The usage of 28.5 percent, the minutes of 35.3 and the game environment are all there. 

Bradley Beal (DK $8,000) (FD $8,200) 

I mean, see above for most of this, but Beal has actually been much more consistent than Wall this year. Beal’s usage is right around 26 percent, and he is also playing 35.5 minutes per night. He has given decent enough peripherals this year and his floor has been really solid. Averaging right at 38 DK points per game on the year and just two games ago when these teams played, he put up 45 DK points. Much like Wall, the usage, the minutes and the matchup are there, so I am just going to play him. 

Justin Holiday (DK $5,400) (FD $6,500) 

I like it more on DK but we can’t ignore the massive minutes he is playing right now. His last four games have been 33, 40, 40, and 37. Has double-digit shots in three straight games and has added some peripherals recently as we always like to see that. In order to play a lot of the guys in that NO/WAS game, we are going to have to go cheap somewhere and this is a great middle to low-end play. Over his last three games, Holiday is averaging 1.2 DK points per minute. I think we can safely project him for 35 at this point and that gives him a massive baseline projection for that price at 42 DK points. Even if the points per minute slips to his season average of 0.8 at 35 minutes, that is still a projection of 28 DK points, which is absolutely fine for cash at that price. 

D.J. Augustin (DK $4,300) (FD $4,500)

He has pretty much been my cheap guard play all year. Yeah, some nights have been better than others, but it is pretty hard to kill you at that price even if he duds. With Aaron Gordon unlikely to play, Augustin should be in line to see a usage bump. He is only operating at a 15 percent usage rate on the year but throughout his career with the magic, in games Gordon has missed, it jumps up to just about 20 percent and that is a nice little bump. He is going to play his 27-30 minutes and like I touched on with Holiday, we are going to have to save somewhere and I usually like to save at PG because they are going to have the ball in their hands the most. It is pretty hard for a PG to just go stand in the corner and hope for kick outs, which sometimes happens to those cheaper wing guys. 

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