MLB DFS Pitching Preview – It’s Sale Day – The Quant Edge

MLB DFS Pitching Preview – It’s Sale Day – The Quant Edge

We have another full 14 game slate to go through our MLB DFS pitching options. While there is a ton of games, there aren’t many options to choose from on this tough slate. Let’s go through who we can use and attack.

Pitchers to Use

Chris Sale

Anytime Sale is on the slate, you have to have interest in him. He has 10 outings of 10+ Ks in his last 13 starts.

The one pause about paying up for Sale in this spot is the Blue Jays haven’t really struggled against Sale. They recently scored three runs in five innings off Sale. It’s not enough to get me off Sale here as he has the best SIERA on the slate at 2.92 and an insane K rate of 35%.

Mike Clevinger

I’m not going to let one bad outing coming off the IL get me off Clevinger in his next start. He has the second-best SIERA on the slate behind Sale, and an insane K rate of 41%. The K rate isn’t a fluke either as his whiff rate is sitting around 40%, when it was only at 27% last year.

The Royals haven’t been striking out at a really high rate, but they haven’t been doing much damage against opposing pitchers either. Clevinger is priced at a bit of a discount from where he should be, which is why we can consider him here.

Kyle Gibson

Oakland is a bunch of right-handed bats, and that is the side of the plate Gibson has dominated this year. His K rate spikes to 27%, his xFIP drops to 3.22 and his ground ball rate jumps to 49% against righties. He has overall been really solid this year and this is a spot we can use him.

Cal Quantrill

Quantrill is definitely the cheap arm I want exposure to on this slate. He’s so cheap on DK that you can pair one of the other three guys with him really easily. He doesn’t do much in terms of upside, but he has been decent in run prevention.

People may look at his pitch count from his previous relief outings and think he isn’t a guy we can use here. That’s not correct. He threw 93 pitches just 17 days ago, so he is still pretty stretched out and can go deep if he is pitching well.

I mentioned he does things decent but not great. He has a 50% ground ball rate, a 4.50 SIERA, a 20% K rate, and is facing the Giants at home. It is a really favorable spot for a guy who is near min price.

Pitchers to Pick On

Jacob Waguespack

More Like Jacob Bagspacked because he is going to pack his bags and head right back to the minors after the scolding hot Red Sox knock him around.

The Red Sox have scored 6+ runs in eight of their last nine games.

Coors

I don’t need to tell you to play bats in Coors. That’s the obvious play that everyone plays every day.

With Lambert and Miley pitching, there should be plenty of runs scored. Feel free to fade the insane ownership in tourneys though.

Jhoulys Chacin

Chacin just faced the Reds and gave up 5 ER and 2 HR in only 4.2 innings pitched. Now, he is pitching in Cinci, which is even smaller than Milwaukee.

Chacin just hasn’t been good this year as he has the worst SIERA on the slate at 5.42. Feel free to load up on Reds.

Nick Pivetta

Pivetta has now given up 4+ ERs in three straight starts as well as allowing seven homers in those same three starts. Pitching in Atlanta is not an ideal spot to try to right the ship.

Jason Vargas

I refuse to believe Vargas is not going to get knocked around this year. He has a 3.66 ERA while his SIERA sits at a whopping 5.05 and his xFIP is 5.09.

The Yankees are getting healthy now besides not having Stanton. This is a spot we could finally see Vargas give up a couple of homers.

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