MLB DFS Batter Breakdown – Astros heating up in Houston – The Quant Edge

MLB DFS Batter Breakdown – Astros heating up in Houston – The Quant Edge

Welcome back to another edition of the MLB DFS Batter Breakdown. We have a six-game early MLB DFS slate and a nine-game main slate going down today. The early slate will be taken care of briefly on Quick Hits and in the member discord. This article will be for the nine-game main slate only and will cover the cash and GPP plays for the night. The Mets and Phillies have high IRTs for tonight, but the targets I will be on are the Angels and more importantly the Astors heating up in Houston. Let’s see what batters we are targeting for tonight’s action in the MLB DFS Batter Breakdown.

Catcher 

You can definitely pay up for Willson Contreras once again vs a lefty in Dallas Keuchel, or you can save a few dollars and drop below $4K. Elias Diaz is hitting .310 on the season vs LHP with a 39% HH rate. Framber Valdez has been good but is also giving up a .397 SLG and a 42% HH rate vs RHH this season. If just punting the position, then Tucker Barnhart, Jordan Hicks and Jeff Mathis are all options.

First Base

Cash- Nick Pivetta has had a really rough season and that hasn’t been just against LHH, but RHH too. Righties are hitting .337 with a .412 wOBA, 2.7 HR/9 and a 42% HH rate. Big Meat Pete Alonso is in a very very nice spot tonight. If you don’t want to pay up for Alonso, his teammate Dominic Smith, who homered last night, is 1B/OF eligible. Matt Olson has been back to his power-hitting self since returning from his injury and faces Adam Wainwright tonight. On the season, Waino has struggled a ton, especially vs LHP. This season, lefties are hitting .325 with a .404 wOBA and a 45% HH rate. Olson is a great value tonight. If looking to punt, you can target Joey Votto or even Tyler White.

GPP- Yu Darvish has been better of late but lefties are still slugging .481 with over 2 HR/9 off Darvish this season. He’ll run into Freddie Freeman tonight who has a .320 average, .423 wOBA and a 56% HH rate vs RHP this season. Rhys Hoskins homered again last night, which is 3 home runs in the last four games. He’s in a very nice GPP spot vs Vargas tonight. Matt Adams has a .539 SLG and a 43% HH rate vs RHP this season and he’ll look to spoil Zac Gallen’s home debut. Mike Minor will be a very popular play tonight, but if you want to fade the chalk, then target some Tigers and one of those targets would be Brandon Dixon. On the season, Dixon is hitting .270 vs LHP with a .330 wOBA and a 43% HH rate.

Second Base

Cash- With the success Jeff McNeil has had of late, he’s a lock as the high price target tonight in cash. He doesn’t always have the highest ceiling with his lack of power, but his floor is outstanding, especially if the Mets reach or exceed their IRT. Dario Agrazal is a major pitch to contact arm and tonight faces Jose Altuve, who has been back for a couple of games and has hit safely in five straight, looking like the Altuve of old. He’s still too cheap at $4100 and is a very solid cash game look tonight. Tommy La Stella is another solid cash game look as Tanner Roark, who’s giving up a .293 average and a .375 wOBA to LHP this season. Also, Robinson Cano is always cheap.

GPP- When going GPP, you can go to Ozzie Albies, who went deep again last night and has hit safely in five of his last six games. Kolten Wong and Kevin Newman would be a couple other GPP options. Tonight, 2B has more of a cash game feel that you may use for GPPs as well.

Third Base

Cash- Scott Kingery has hit safely in nine of his last 11 games, homered last night and gets Jason Vargas tonight in a really good spot for the Phillies. At the same price point, you can also go to Alex Bregman coming off a big night last night and will look to duplicate off Agrazal today. When going cheaper, you can give Yuli Gurriel, Kyle Seager and Tommy La Stella a look.

GPP- You can go back to Mike Moustakas if you like or save some cash and gamble on Todd Frazier. Yes, the Toddfather. He’s hit safely in six of his last eight, hitting .333 over that stretch with 3 home runs. He’s been streaking most of June and will look to keep it going vs shaky Nick Pivetta. If you just want to get weird, you can look into David Bote or Brian Anderson.

Shortstop

Cash- Alex Bregman is also SS eligible, but he’s not the only high priced option tonight. Javy Baez has been a beast of late, hitting .348 over the last seven games with 4 extra base hits. He will look to take advantage of pitch-to-contact Dallas Keuchel. I mentioned J.P. Crawford as a solid cash game play yesterday and he didn’t disappoint with another multi-hit game. He’s hitting .414 over his last seven games and will look to keep that going vs Adrian Houser tonight. Amed Rosario is another nice cash game look tonight vs Pivetta.

GPP- Elvis Andrus vs Boyd and Jorge Polanco vs Morton are both GPP plays as they face top end pitching but always have huge upside at the plate. If you are looking to save some cash, then target Marcus Semien vs Adam Wainwright. Semien has hit safely in all but one game since June 4th…there’s a good chance that continues tonight. 

Outfield

Cash- The Astros are in a great spot, which means Jordan Alvarez, George Springer, Michael Brantely and Josh Reddick are all in play vs the Pirates’ righty. The Phillies are in a great spot tonight so give Kingery, Bryce Harper and Roman Quinn a look. The Mariners are gonna be a low owned look again tonight but don’t sleep on Mallex Smith and Domingo Santana. Michael Conforto continues to hit and is in play tonight vs Pivetta. With the Cubs facing an LHP, you get Albert Almora Jr. as an option. Tanner Roark is on the bump for the Reds so target Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and some value with Kole Calhoun

GPP- The Braves make for a heck of a GPP play tonight so Ronald Acuna and Nick Markakis are in play. The Brewers have been disappointing of late but don’t forget about Christian Yelich and Ryan Braun tonight. Garrett Cooper and Brian Anderson are both super sneaky GPP plays vs Corbin tonight. The A’s have a loaded outfield with some value, so keep an eye on who starts there.

Stacks

Top Stacks- HOU, PHI, NYM, SEA, OAK

Cash- HOU, PHI, OAK, CHC

GPP- NYM, SEA, MIL, ATL

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