Patrick Mahomes (7,100 DK)
Everyone is going to see a price tag of 7,100 and think it is too expensive. People forget that the top QBs like Brady and Rodgers in past years have been priced as high as $8K. So while Mahomes is expensive in relation to other QBs, he is not expensive in terms of salary cap on DK. He is the best fantasy QB week in and week out and people are going to continue not playing him even though Reid has committed to this air raid offense. Fire up Mahomes in DK cash with confidence, and you may actually get him lower owned than you should.
Cam Newton (6,600 DK / 8,600 FD)
The top two QBs this year are 1) Patrick Mahomes and 2) QBs against the Bucs. Cam Newton has been very reliable in terms of fantasy production this year as well. Credit to Norv Turner for maximizing his potential. Cam has 18+ fantasy points in every game this year and has 24+ in all but two games. Feel confident in playing Cam if you need a salary savings from Mahomes.
Todd Gurley (9,500 DK)
Todd Gurley is simply too cheap on DK. Anything under 10k is a discount for him. This isn’t the greatest rushing matchup for him, however, he is essentially matchup proof due to the scheme that McVay runs. He is not a lock by any means because there are some cheaper high volume RBs that are in great spots, but you should definitely consider him even at this price tag on DK. He is too expensive at 11.2k on FD.
Kareem Hunt (7,700 DK / 8,500 FD)
Hunt is an extremely explosive player and the Chiefs are finally involving him on a weekly basis in the pass game, as he has six targets in each of the last three weeks. He also gets the valuable red zone touches as he has 19 red zone carries and eight red zone targets this year. My RB matchup matrix highlighted that the Browns haven’t been as good of a run D this year, and they have allowed ceiling games to multiple RBs so far this year. Conner smashed the Browns last week and I expect Hunt to do the same this week.
Alvin Kamara (7,300 DK / 8,000 FD)
The projected game flow here favors Kamara more than Ingram. I don’t expect the Saints D to be able to slow down the Rams offense at all now that the Rams are back to full strength. With that, I expect the Saints to have to throw a lot which benefits Kamara. The Rams have been susceptible to opposing RBs throughout the year. Kamara also gets the majority of the red zone touches. He is a great way to get exposure to the highest total game of the week.
Nick Chubb (4,500 DK / 6,600 FD)
Chubb has started two games and has had 20 and 21 total opportunities in those two games. The volume has been there, and now he finally gets a top matchup to pair with his volume. If you check the RB matrix, KC is at the bottom of the league in almost every advanced rushing defense metric. Chubb is also going to get any goal-line work. Volume is king at the RB position and you are getting a cheap high volume back in a great matchup here.
Adam Thielen (8,900 DK / 8,900 FD)
The Vikings promoted a WR from the practice squad which means Diggs status must be up in the air. This means Thielen’s target share is locked in more than ever. He has been the most productive WR in fantasy this year and I don’t expect that to change this week. Jamming in Thielen, especially if you aren’t paying up for Gurley is a great place to start.
Marvin Jones (5,200 DK / 6,500 FD)
Marvin Jones has been good with his limited targets this year. With Tate being traded, I think this leads to an uptick in production for Marvin Jones. In my Ideal Targets article, I highlighted that Jones has the best matchup of the Lions receivers for what the Vikings allow. Jones is also the only Lion with double-digit red zone targets as he has 10. The next highest is Golladay at six. The Vikings are also dealing with some injuries on defense and Rhodes is currently a game-time decision. Even if Rhodes plays, Jones stole his lunch money the last time they faced off on Thanksgiving. Jones is a great play this week.
Cooper Kupp (6,000 DK / 6,800 FD)
Cooper Kupp is another guy who made his way into the Ideal Targets article. He gets a great matchup this week as the Saints have been burned through the air all year. The Rams came out and said that Kupp could have played last week if it was a do or die game, but they wanted to make sure he is fully healthy. With the Rams being 8-0, they don’t need to rush Kupp back for any reason. The fact that he is playing should be a sign that he is fully healthy. Fire up Kupp.
Sammy Watkins (4,900 DK / 6,700 FD)
Anytime you can get a cheap Mahomes pass catcher who sees consistent target share, you play him in cash. That’s what we have here with Watkins as he has seen 7-9 targets on most weeks. The Browns D has been somewhat decent, but the Chiefs offense is in a category of its own.
D.J. Moore (4,200 DK / 5,300 FD)
Moore is starting to see more consistent targets. He has seen 4-6 in each of his last four games and now gets a matchup against the worst pass defense in the NFL. Moore is going to be mega chalk this weekend, but in cash, that is something we can live with. We need some safe salary savers to fit in the studs, and Moore is the best way to do that.
Courtland Sutton (3,800 DK / 5,500 FD)
I want to fade Sutton in tourneys, but I think he is still in play in cash. The concern for me with Sutton is that Keenum just isn’t very good. Whenever you’re playing a high owned receiver with a bad quarterback at high ownership, that just spells trouble. However, in cash, he is in play because he should fill a sizable chunk of the void Thomas is leaving behind and he is a main red zone target at a cheap salary.
Travis Kelce (6,600 DK / 7,600 FD)
If you are paying up, Kelce is the guy I want at TE. He is the safest TE with the highest upside every single week. He is a solid way to lock in 15-20 points at the TE position which has been a headache to deal with all year long. He gets a matchup with the Browns who have been better than they have been in the past vs TEs, but they are still near the bottom of the league.
O.J. Howard (4,300 DK / 6,000 FD)
If you are playing Cam, OJ is a great way to get a correlation on the other side. Carolina has actually struggled vs TEs this year as they have allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing TEs. Fitzpatrick also loves to target OJ. OJ is my favorite point per dollar TE this week.
Kyle Rudolph (3,600 DK)
Rudolph is only in play for me on DK and also only if Diggs misses this game as he would see a slight uptick in volume. Otherwise, I would rather just play OJ Howard.
Broncos defense (2,300 DK / 3,400 FD)
The Broncos are near min priced on both sites. They are 3rd in adjusted sack rate, meanwhile, the Texans are 3rd worst in adjusted sack rate allowed. Denver is at home here which is always something I look for when rostering defenses. Watson’s numbers also drastically decline when Fuller doesn’t play as he brings an explosive element to the offense. I don’t expect Watson and Thomas to be on the same page yet with only a couple practices together. This is a good spot for the Broncos D.
Matt Dickason has been playing DFS NFL, MLB and NBA for 3 years now. I have been in season long football leagues since the age of 10, so football has always been a passion of mine. Outside of fantasy sports, I played baseball for 19 years including college and eventually Semi-Pro. MLB and NFL are my two strongest sports when it comes to betting and DFS.