Cowboys at Rams (-7) 49.5
RB Todd Gurley
Expected to play, but if he is out, CJ Anderson becomes a free square on FanDuel and a great play on DraftKings.
DE Ethan Westbrook
Rams have a lower explosive run rate, explosive pass rate, pass success rate against, yards per carry, and yards per attempt with Westbrooks on the field.
WR Cole Beasley
The pass success rate jumps 11 percent with Beasley off the field this year.
TE Blake Jarwin
Cole Beasley sees a six percent target share bump when Jarwin is off the field.
DL Maliek Collins
Cowboys have been more successful with him off the field this year. Teams have passed 52.8 percent of the time he is off the field, compared to 62 percent of the time he is on the field.
Michael Gallup gets an eight percent target share bump when Hurns is off the field.
The Cowboys come into this game with an implied team total of 21, in games where the Rams opponents have pushed them (20 plus points) Jared Goff has averaged 30.3 DK points per game. He has also been significantly better at home this season, averaging 28.1 DK points per compared to just 15.9 on the road. The Cowboys have struggled on the road this season, going 3-5 against the spread, and have failed to get after the quarterback on the road they way they have at home. They have 14 fewer sacks, just 13 total on the road this season while allowing 76 total yards more. If you are a believer in trends, Goff is a strong GPP play at a discounted price.