Colts at Chiefs (-5.5) 57
S Eric Berry
Only played 91 snaps, and the defense has been worse with him on the field.
WR Sammy Watkins
Chiefs average 10.03 YPA with Watkins on the field, 8.68 with him off of it.
Travis Kelce Gets a three percent target share boost.
Tyreek Hill gets a two percent target share boost without Watkins.
RB Spencer Ware
Chiefs run the ball eight percent more when Spencer Ware has been off the field.
Run Success rate drops 12 percent with Ware on the field.
S Malik Hooker
Yards per carry jump from 3.91 to 4.92 with Hooker off the field.
WR Ryan Grant
Colts have been better across the Board with Grant off the field.
Colts pass 72.4 percent of the time Ryan Grant is on the field, just 50 percent of the time he is off the field.
Dontrelle Inman gets an eight percent target share bump.
DT Tyquan Lewis
Colts have a 5.7 percent explosive run percentage against with Lewis off the Field, 1.5 percent with him on the field.
Sack percentage is 8.1 percent with him on the field, 5.8 percent with him off the field
DT Denico Autry
Pass success rate against drops five percent with him on the field
Explosive run rate jumps 2.7 percent with him off the field.
This is the highest total game on the slate and the Colts run more zone defense than any other team in the NFL.
The future MVP of the league currently is the highest price quarterback on the slate, as he has been all year, but he deserves to be. Averaging 28.94 DK points per game, throwing for 318.5 yards and 3.12 touchdowns per game, Mahomes has been a fantasy god this season. He takes on a Colts team that likes to push the pace and isn’t scared to get into shootouts, as the Colts run the third most plays in the NFL. While the Colts zone is designed to keep things in front of them, Mahomes has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL versus zone coverage and will be able to take the top off, something the Texans were unable to do. Also, his underneath playmakers such as Hill and Williams have the speed to punish the Colts on easy completions with run-after-catch opportunities. With soft pricing, I am making it a point to get Mahomes in my lineups.