Chargers at Patriots (-4) 48
DE Deatrich Wise
Opponents have a slightly higher explosive pass rate and YPA, but much better on the ground against the Pats when Wise is on the field
TE Hunter Henry
The Chargers are the best defense remaining in the playoffs and this is the lowest total on the slate. Brady has not shown many ceiling games¬†this season with only one game this season over 30 points, back in Week 5 versus Indianapolis. If you are looking to use Brady, the reason to do it would be the Chargers struggles in the passing game covering running backs. They allow 60.81 yards to backs per game on 8.38 targets. As Brady continues to defy age, one thing that has been impacted is his deep ball and he has looked to attack opponents underneath with backs, and the Chargers are one of the worst teams in the league stopping it. In the last four games, Patriots running backs are averaging eight targets per game and 25 percent of the total targets. I would rather get Brady exposure through his weapons and fade the quarterback with so many QBs with higher ceilings this week.