Markus Howard – Marquette ($9600): Howard is a DFS dream showing a ridiculous 36% usage rate throughout the season. Last time against Georgetown, Howard got injured three minutes into the game and didn’t return which blew up the DFS night for a lot of people (so happy I faded him last time!). But I can’t be fading him here, at home in an uptempo matchup against a Georgetown team that cannot stop anyone in the back court. Howard is a guy who averages 42 FP at home and against Georgetown this is a spot where we can see him break the slate and get to 60 FP. Coming off a loss and in most likely his last home game of his career I like him to be aggressive in this one.
Phil Booth – Villanova ($8100): Booth has been a favorite of mine all year just because of how focused the Villanova offense is around him. He had a stretch of a few games where he struggled to find his shot which I think turned a few people off of him, but Booth seems to have got his groove back scoring over 35 FP in three of his last four games. He exploded against Seton Hall last time, going 25/5/5 with a 30% usage rate. Booth will definitely be aggressive in this one and if his shot is falling he has 40+ FP upside.
Kouat Noi – TCU ($6900): Noi busted last game for everyone being in pretty heavy foul trouble for most of the game and only being able to get to 9 FP. Noi is usually one of the more chalky plays but I’m thinking his recent bust may keep some people off of him. With Fisher injured for the year, Noi has become pretty trigger happy taking around 15+ shots per game. He is a little erratic, but he has a solid 20% combined rebounding rate and is really active, so he can rack up some blocks and steals. If he is shooting well, he has 40+ FP upside in a matchup against a Texas team who doesn’t have any big that will be able to guard him on the perimeter.
Nik Popovic – Boston College ($6800): When Popovic can stay on the floor he is a fantasy monster as he’s shown the ability to get to 40+ FP. He has an elite matchup here at home against an uptempo NC State team who really struggles to guard the interior. Pop was in foul trouble last game against NC State and still was able to get to 29 FP. I am confident he can stay out of foul trouble at home in this one and I think we can see a 20/10 type of line in this game where there should be a lot of opportunities for FP.
Jase Febres – Texas ($4800): Febres flopped last time against Texas Tech last game only being able to put up 12 FP. To me this is more of an anomaly simply due to the fact that Texas was on the road against a top three defensive team in the country. The main thing to look at here which is extremely encouraging is that Fabres played all 40 minutes in that game. He gets a better matchup here at home against a struggling TCU team where he should find it easier to get hot and has a good chance to outperform his low value here.
Jermaine Samuels – Villanova ($4400): Play bigs against Seton Hall, it’s that simple. Samuels was able to get to 23 FP in their last matchup against the Pirates with only taking 1 shot. That is ridiculous. Coach Wright seems to have given him more of a green light if we look at his explosion two games ago at Marquette where he took 19 shots and went for an absurd 45 FP. That performance seems impossible for him to replicate, but his minutes are trending in the right direction as he’s getting 32+ minutes in his last two games and if he can get even 5+ shots up he has the upside to get to 30 FP with his high rebounding, steal and block rates.
CBB DFS Expert