2018 Record ATS: 51-34-3 (60 percent)
In the regular season, I gave you (usually) five plays a week. During the NFL playoffs, I’ll be breaking down every game on a weekly basis…telling you what to play and what to punt.
Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs (-6)
Just like last week, the first game of the divisional slate is going to be a non-play for us.
Based on ANY/A Value, the first-ranked Kansas City Chiefs will be hosting the eighth-ranked Indianapolis Colts on Saturday afternoon. The Colts have been hotter as of lately, especially after quarterback Andrew Luck’s slow start to the season, so that number might actually be too low considering the circumstances.
Overall, this line seems right. If it dips below four, take Kansas City. If it goes above 7.5, take Indianapolis. As of right now, this is simply a non-play for us, but we do have opinions on the other games.