2018 Record ATS: 52-35-3 (59 percent)
After going 49-33-3 in the NFL regular season, we’re 3-2 against the spread in the postseason so far. Here’s a recap of our playoff efforts:
The Los Angeles Chargers covered against the Baltimore Ravens in the wild-card round pretty convincingly.
The Seattle Seahawks covered against the Dallas Cowboys in part because their kicker was hurt and they had to go for two on a +2.5 line.
The Chicago Bears crushed our hearts by going for a field goal to end the game (which led to a double doink.)
The Los Angeles Chargers let us down quickly against the New England Patriots.
A two-team, six-point tease with the Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints (after a comeback) hit.
Using combined regular season and postseason passing efficiency averages, we can create a power ranking of passing efficiency for both sides of the ball for every NFL team. Remember, passing numbers are much more stable than rushing numbers game-to-game. Using these numbers, based on what we know after the divisional round games, these games would have been considered upsets from a power ranking standpoint: the Chicago Bears missing a kick against the Philadelphia Eagles and the Seattle Seahawks losing by two after #EstablishingTheRun at a third of the efficiency that their passing game had.