Well that was fun last night. We nailed a lot of nice plays, including some nice value. But if you didn’t have 51 from Justin Turner and 45 from Whit Merrifield, then you likely weren’t near the top of the leaderboards. Tonight, we have a fun eight-game slate on tap. We have some weather concerns in Chicago and Colorado, so keep that in mind. Also, check out MLB DFS Quick Hits to get a deeper dive into some of the player analysis you may be looking for. But for now, let’s see who to target for tonight in the Batter Breakdown.
For me tonight, it’s all about Chris Iannetta in Coors vs Derek Holland. Ianetta went deep last night and is in another smash spot tonight. So far this season Iannetta is hitting .294 with a .294 ISO, 145 wRC+ and a 25% HR/FB vs LHP. Facing Holland tonight is a lock and load spot at $3900. If for some reason you need to go cheaper or the game is PPD, then look into one of the Red Sox catchers (Christian Vazquez/Sandy Leon), Tyler Flowers or Martin Maldonado.
Cash- I wrote about Brandon Belt here yesterday and everything stays the same as he’s only $4400 in Coors in another solid matchup for Belt. To give you something a little different today, we also have Mitch Moreland at a nice price tag. He’s been smoking the ball of late, including hitting his 10th home run of the season last night. All of Moreland’s xSTATS show some more massive positive regression coming, not to mention his awesome statcast numbers. On the season, he’s barreling the ball up 19.5% of the time with an average EV of 93.5 mph and a 54.9% HH rate. Oh, and he gets Andrew Cashner tonight at Camden Yards.
GPP- Max Muncy is starting to see some more regular playing time of late and his bat is waking up. He’s riding a five-game hitting streak into tonight’s action vs Mike Foltynewicz. Over those five games, Muncy is hitting .400 with 2 home runs, a .400 ISO and a 247 wRC+. He’s crushing the baseball, he has 1B and 2B eligibility on DK and gets Folty, who we love to target with LHH.
Other First Base Options- Cody Bellinger, Anthony Rizzo, Mark Reynolds, Ryan O’Hearn, Hunter Dozier
Cash- It’s pretty simple for me, it’s either take another gamble on the too cheap but slumping Jose Altuve in another great matchup tonight or go back to a $3900 Joe Panik leading off. It’s really that simple for cash games.
GPP- We can get a bit more creative here. You have Max Muncy, who I mentioned at 1B. With Clayton Kershaw on the bump tonight, Ozzie Albies should go very low owned. Yes, it’s dicey, but there are some things to look at. A) Even though not dominant, LHH are hitting Kershaw better in recent years, including a 45% HH rate this season. B) In his career, Albies loves facing LHP and even more so this season. In 2019, he’s hitting .375 with a .300 ISO, 176 wRC+, a 36.4% HR/FB and a 42% HH rate. He’s crushing lefties. Albies is playing so well of late and makes for a juicy GPP play tonight.
Other Second Base Options- Whit Merrifield, Michael Chavis, Eric Sogard, Jonathan Schoop, Chris Taylor
Cash- Lock and load your Nolan Arenado shares tonight. Arenado always crushes lefties, but it’s even crazier this season. He’s hitting .395 with a .447 ISO, .526 wOBA, a 219 wRC+ and a 40% HH rate. He’s crushing and in a prime spot tonight. If the game rains out, then target Alex Bregman.
GPP- Third base is a really fun place to get weird for GPPs tonight. You can go with Eugenio Suarez, who we love targeting vs LHP. Or you can roll the dice and roll this hot streak of Evan Longoria in Coors tonight vs Gray. Longoria has gone 5 for 11 over his last two games with 2 home runs.
Other Third Base Options- Hunter Dozier, Michael Chavis, Rafael Devers, Kyle Farmer, Justin Turner
Cash- Similar to 3B, it’s all about Trevor Story at home vs a lefty. It really is that simple. It doesn’t always work, but it’s as good as it gets. If you don’t go Story, then Corey Seager at $3800 and Brandon Crawford at $3500 bring some really nice cash game value to your lineups.
GPP- The Royals have been swinging some hot sticks and tonight get their easiest matchup of the series in Houston. Tonight, they get Brad Peacock, who you pick on early and often with LHH. Adalberto Mondesi has been swinging it well. Over his last four games, he’s hitting .333 with a .444 ISO and 5 extra base hits. This season LHH are hitting .279 with a .359 wOBA and a 48% HH rate. Jorge Polanco is another really nice GPP option.
Other Shortstop Options- Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts, Eric Sogard, Marcus Semien
Cash- Bellibombs galore tonight is in a great spot tonight vs Folty. George Springer, Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick all make for nice cash game plays vs Lopez. Brantley is sneaky nice as he’s going to go overlooked at his price point tonight. The Red Sox trio is ready to lock and load again tonight led by JD Martinez, Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi. Belt and Steven Duggar for the Giants in Coors stands out as well.
GPP- You have the lefty-lefty matchups in Coors with Charlie Blackmon, David Dahl and Raimel Tapia. Then look into our boy JOC JAMS and Alex Verdugo. Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler facing Thornton in Toronto could be a sneaky good GPP look. Lastly the youngsters Nick Senzel vs Anderson and Ronald Acuna Jr vs Kershaw.
Cash- COL, SF, BOS, HOU
GPP- LAD, CIN, KC
Brian has been playing Fantasy Sports, and more importantly Fantasy Baseball for over a decade. He’s been playing DFS for 4 years now. This will be his 4th season recording MLB DFS Quick Hits. He runs and writes for FantasySportsDegens. Records many podcasts including Benched with Bubba, Around the Bases with Bubba & Mo, Always Pressing PGA DFS POD and the 2 Point Conversion NFL DFS POD. You can contact him on Twitter @bdentrek.