What a wild Monday night, home runs everywhere. Pitching definitely wasn’t a priority. Well, tonight that changes a bit. We have a 10-game slate to attack for our Batter Breakdown and there are some aces to be had. At the same time, there are some really bad pitchers and we can go for home run derby yet again. We will have to be creative since there isn’t much batter value today, but we’ll make it work. Make sure to listen to MLB DFS Quick Hits for a more in-depth discussion and then jump in the member Discord chat to get your questions answered.
Cash – I am going to have to stick to the trend and go back to the Omar Narvaez well. Somehow his price dropped on DK to $3400 and that makes him a really solid cash play. His floor has been incredible this season and he has some power upside. He’ll be facing Jakob Junis who last season had quite the home run issue of his own. He also struggled vs LHH as they hit .274 with a .339 wOBA and an awesome 43% HH rate. Narvaez makes for a great cash game punt on a slate that lacks overall value and has some nice arms to pay up for.
GPP – I’ll differentiate myself from other lineups and pay up for Yasmani Grandal. Grandal is back in LA, sure not facing the Dodgers, but hey So Cal is So Cal. He’ll be facing the gas can we all know as Matt Harvey. Harvey is coming off a home start where he gave up 8 ER in four innings, including 2 home runs to the Rangers. Last year lefties had a .342 wOBA, an HR/9 of 1.9 and a 43.1% HH rate vs Harvey. Grandal could be sneaky nice in your GPP lineups tonight.
Other Catcher Options – Nick Hundley, Austin Barnes, Austin Hedges, Buster Posey
Cash – I hate to sound like a broken record, but we will be going back to Trey Mancini for our cash games tonight. Mancini coming off a multi-hit Monday night, including his 5th home run of the year. He’ll have another great matchup tonight as he faces lefty Brett Anderson. Lefties have hit at least .290 with a .351 wOBA and HH rate of 34.6% in each of the last 3 seasons. Mancini will look to crush yet again on Tuesday night.
GPP – Paul Goldschmidt has been in a slight funk since his big 3 home run game and Tuesday night look like a good night for him to break out of it. He’ll be facing Ross Stripling who has shown reverse splits in the first 3 years of his career. Last season RHB hit .273 with a .334 wOBA, 1.5 HR/9 and a 37.9% HH rate. Goldy should be pretty low owned tonight and makes for a nice GPP play.
Other First Base Options – Cody Bellinger, Mark Canha, Max Muncy, E5, Dan Vogelbach, Mark Reynolds, Travis Shaw, Pete Alonso
Cash – We’ll head back to Baltimore and go back to Jonathan Villar. Yes, I know, I mention him a lot. Well, if you’ve paid attention he’s getting it done more often than not. The switch-hitting Villar (who for some reason hit RH vs Estrada) will try and stay hot vs Brett Anderson and his diminishing skills vs RHH.
GPP – We’ll look for some more savings at second base and take the discount with Robinson Cano. He’ll be facing off with Kyle Gibson who has struggled vs LHB most of his career. Last season, lefties hit .265 with a .320 wOBA and a HH rate over 38%. Cano is off to an inconsistent start this year and Gibson should be just what he needs to put some hits together.
Other Second Base Options – Jose Altuve, Whit Merrifield, Chad Pinder, Kiké Hernandez, Kolten Wong, Hanser Alberto (PUNT)
Cash – We mentioned Moose at 2B, so we will go to Travis Shaw. Once again we will look to pick on the Dark Knight and we will do so with some of the LH power in Milwaukee. In a small sample, Shaw is 6 for 14 with 2 doubles vs Harvey.
GPP – Manny Machado comes into Tuesday Night with a lot of momentum. He had over 20 DK points in two of his last five games and 11 points in three of five. He’ll look to stay hot vs Derek Holland. Holland has struggled vs RHH in his career. For his career, RHH have a .346 wOBA and a 35% HH rate. In Machado’s career, he has a .348 wOBA and a 35% HH rate vs LHP. This seems like the perfect storm for a big night from Machado.
Other Third Base Options – Matt Chapman, Max Muncy, Matt Carpenter, Mike Moustakas, Jeff McNeil, Dylan Moore (PUNT)
Cash – I tried to avoid Coors as much as possibly, but I can’t avoid what has worked for so long and that’s Trevor Story vs a LHP in COORS. Story has been a monster vs LHP in career and especially at home. Last season, he hit .374 with a .527 wOBA, a .505 ISO, a 36.7% HR/FB and a 48.6% HH rate (lowest of his career haha). Bottom line is Story absolutely crushes it at home and especially vs LHP. If you play this pretty much every time you will be +EV by a long shot by season’s end.
GPP – We’ll go back to those reverse splits of Ross Stripling mentioned above and target Paul DeJong. We’ve mentioned before how DeJong has shown reverse splits in his young career as well. DeJong has a career .341 wOBA, a .220 ISO and a 38% HH rate. He’ll be hitting in the middle of the Cardinals lineup and has some GPP upside at a nice price tag.
Other Shortstop Options- Jonathan Villar, Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, Nick Ahmed, Fernando Tatis Jr, Richie Martin (PUNT), Andrelton Simmons (PUNT)
Cash – Christian Yelich vs Matt Harvey is an outstanding cash game play tonight. Maybe one of the best ones at that. We’ve already documented LHB success vs Harvey, but Yelich isn’t your average LHB. He has scored at least 7 DK points in all but one game this season and DD points in seven. He’s an outstanding play tonight.
GPP – We head back to Coors, but this is a combination of the Coors upside and just an insane price tag. Nick Markakis is getting no respect from DK. Yes, he’s facing German Marquez, but only $4K in Coors is ridiculous. Sometimes you just need to take advantage of a bad price. Markakis is a career .291 hitter, with a .350 wOBA and a 32% HH rate vs RHP. Exploit the bad price tag even though a really solid pitcher is on the mound.
Other Outfield Options- Mike Trout, Khris Davis, Joey Gallo, Stephen Piscotty, Michael Conforto, Ryan Braun.Lorenzo Cain, Wil Myers/Hunter Renfroe, Mitch Haniger/Domingo Santana, Joc Pederson, Adam Jones, Michael Brantley, Jorge Soler
Cash – Don’t get cute here. If you aren’t playing COORS, then you are going to the Brew Crew, we talking about the lefty thump of Yelich, Moose and Shaw. That’s a great place to start. You can look at Thames to be contrarian in a GPP or even add some RHBs in Cain and Braun. Pick on the Dark Knight.
GPP – We liked the O’s on Monday night and we shall go back to the Orioles tonight. They are in a great matchup vs Brett Anderson as we’ve mentioned before. Look to go back to Trey Mancini and Jonathan Villar. Then you can see where you want to go with the likes of Renato Nuñez, Joey Rickard, Hanser Alberto and so many other not sexy but intriguing punt options. They should be in for a big night, but at worse the two-man stack of Villar and Mancini works too.
Other Stacks- Oakland A’s, New York Mets, LA Dodgers, Seattle Mariners, Kansas City Royals, St Louis Cardinals
Brian has been playing Fantasy Sports, and more importantly Fantasy Baseball for over a decade. He’s been playing DFS for 4 years now. This will be his 4th season recording MLB DFS Quick Hits. He runs and writes for FantasySportsDegens. Records many podcasts including Benched with Bubba, Around the Bases with Bubba & Mo, Always Pressing PGA DFS POD and the 2 Point Conversion NFL DFS POD. You can contact him on Twitter @bdentrek.