Batter Breakdown 4/7

Batter Breakdown 4/7

We’ve reached another Sunday and that means 2 things. 1, the Batter Breakdown will get a splash of pitching. And 2, it’ll be a more generic breakdown by position since lineups can be very goofy on a Sunday which could lead to some of this infor being worthless, haha. We have a really good 11 game slate on Sunday with some solid pitchers and some really nice bats to choose from. Let’s see what to target on today’s 11 game slate with today’s Batter Breakdown.

 

Starting Pitching

 

Max Scherzer is the high priced arm today and rightfully so for Max. Max has already faced the Mets once this year, striking out 12 in 7.2 innings for over 34 DK points. I don’t have to say much that Max is a solid top tier arm on Sunday. If you don’t want to pay up to the top you can start with Mike Clevenger. Clevinger is usually the forgotten man out of the big 4 in the Indians rotation. He’s just as good as the rest and showed that in his first start vs the White Sox where he went 7 shutout innings, striking out 12. Clevenger will face a Blue Jays team that is striking out over 25% of the time vs RHP early on this season.

 

You can pivot to the likes of Domingo German vs a bad Orioles team with some K upside. Look into Brad Peacock coming off a great first start and gets an A’s team with a lot of power, but more so vs LHP than RHP. Zack Wheeler will strictly be a GPP play vs a Nats team that scored 4 runs on him in his first start but also struck out 7 times. Zach Eflin is a cheaper options facing a Twins team that strikes out nearly 24% of the time vs RHP, but also has a ton of power with those LHB.

 

When you are talking punts it’s rough today. Brad Keller is one of my top targets down below. Keller has given up 3 runs on 13 IP and struck out 10 so far to start the season. He’ll be facing a DET team that strikes out over 30% of the time vs RHP this season and showing very little power as well. Keller is a really nice punt to matchup with Clevinger or Scherzer in cash. If you want to go YOLO at SP then Tyson Ross is in play vs the Royals but you never really know which Ross is gonna show up.

 

So that wraps up the SP preview. I really really like Clevinger today. German right behind him and then some Peacock. I’ll likely do all my punting with Keller. The other arms mentioned will be sprinkled about based on lineup construction.

 

Catcher

 

For once there are 3 options at catcher today that I really like. Welington Castillo will be facing the lefty Wade LeBlanc and we love some Beef vs lefties. Beef has a career .309 wOBA and a hard hit rate of 35% vs LHP. After Beef look at some Tyler Flowers. Flowers will be facing Caleb Smith. Smith has some great strike out stuff but also gives up a ton of fly balls. When it comes to RHB, Smith gives up 55.2% FB and a 36.6% HH rate. Lastly we will look at Omar Narvaez vs Ivan Nova. Narvaez got the day off Saturday and should be chomping at the bit to face Nova. Nova struggles tremendously vs LHB and Narvaez will look to stay hot to start the season. All 3 catchers are in play and are all pretty equal in preference of play.

 

First Base

 

Cash- For you cash plays today we will be looking at Paul Goldschmidt vs Matt Strahm. Strahm really struggled in his debut and had some down velocity. If that continues today we could see a double dong day coming up from Goldy. Also for cash give Jose Abreu a look. Abreu has been flexing his muscle to start the season, even hitting his 3rd homer of the year on Saturday. He’ll face off with LaBlanc has reverse splits, but Abreu loves him so RHP with a career .293 BA, .363 wOBA and a HH rate over 35%.

 

GPP- For GPP we head back to the red hot Mariners and get some Daniel Vogelbach. Vogy is hitting .364 with 2 home runs and a 1.500 OPS super early in the season. He has homered in back to back games in which he’s started and today he faces Ivan Nova and all his wonderful problems with LHB. Vogelbach makes for a very intriguing GPP play and nice lower owned piece of a Mariners stack.

 

Other First Base Options- Anthony Rizzo, Travis Shaw, Eric Hosmer, Josh Bell, Ryan O’Hearn

 

Second Base

 

Cash- We’ll go back to Mr. Consistency at the position, Ada, Frazier. Frazier had the day off Saturday and should be leading off today vs Anthony DeSclafani. DeSclafani has struggled vs LHB including a .284 BA and a .385 wOBA in 2018. Frazier has a good chance to reach base a couple times, possibly steal and score some runs for a sub $4K DK price.

 

GPP- One of the hottest hitters in baseball Ozzie Albies will be out GPP play today. He’s on fire to start the year hitting .423, with a home runs and a 1.132 OPS. Albies is a career .342 hitter vs LHP, with a .396 wOBA and a HH and MH rate combining for 88.3% of his contact. Albies loves him some lefties and will face Caleb Smith, who as we mentioned above, gives up a ton of fly balls and hard contact vs RHB.

 

Other Second Base Options- Whit Merrifield, Jonathan Villar, Niko Goodrum, Ben Zobrist, Starlin Castro, Robinson Cano

 

Third Base

 

Cash- For the 3rd straight day I’ll be looking into the Houston Astros and going here with Alex Bregman. He’ll be facing Mike Fiers who was beat up in his Japan start but since then has been phenomenal in 2 starts at home. Well Toto, we aren’t in Kansas anymore. Fiers is back on the road and runs into the juggernaut known as the Astros. Last season Fiers had an ERA around 4 vs RHH and gave up a HH rate of 38.6%. Bregman is usually one of the safer plays on a slate and is in a great spot vs Fiers today.

 

GPP- Manny Machado went deep on Saturday and now faces the again and should be retired Adam Wainwright. Waino is coming off a start where he gave up 4 runs in 4 innings and walked 4. He’s a shell of what he once was and now runs into the hot Padres and Machado. In his career Machado has hit .282 with a .350 wOBA and a HH rate around 35% vs RHP. He makes for a nice low owned GPP target today.

 

Other Third Base Options- Kris Bryant, Mike Moustakas, Marwin Gonzalez, Jeimer Candelario, Jeff McNeil

 

Shortstop

 

Cash- We will look for some savings here and go back to the Marines and Tim Anderson. Anderson went deep on Saturday for the 2nd time this season and raised his average to .500 on the season. We’ve already mentioned the reasons we are targeting RHB vs LeBlanc and it works just the same for Anderson. At $4100 on Sunday Anderson may get overlooked with some of the other “big dogs” at SS making for a good GPP and cash game play.

 

GPP- After back to back Ofer days, Adalberto Mondesi price has dropped $500. I’ll look to jump back on board. He was on fire heading into Detroit and Tyson Ross may be just what the doctor ordered to wake him back up. Last year lefties hit .292 with a .368 wOBA vs Ross. In 2018 Ross through his fastball and slider about 40% of the time each, but in his first start through his fastball almost 50% of the time and his slider 25%. If he’s throwing that many fastballs it’ll give Mondesi more chances to square one up and give a nice GPP return.

 

Other Shortstop Options- Javy Baez, Carlos Correa (love him but can’t write about him 3 straight days), Tim Beckham, Jorge Polanco, Fernando Tatis Jr, Paul DeJong

 

Outfield

 

Cash- So many ways to go in the outfield on an 11 game slate so here are a few for Cash. Kyle Schwarber vs Zack Davies. In his career Davies has given up a .327 wOBA and a 33% HH rate. Jay Bruce hit 2 more home runs on Saturday, giving him 5 on the season to go with his .412 ISO. Bruce faces Ivan Nova with his history of struggles vs LHB. Marcell Ozuna and maybe even Jose Martinez make for nice cash plays vs Matt Strahm. Ozuna is a career .298 hitter vs LHP with a .360 wOBA and an awesome 42% HH rate. I really like some Ozuna and his cheap price tag today.

 

GPP- Ronald Acuña facing Caleb Smith is a really really nice GPP play. Smith’s documented fly ball rate and HH rate vs RHB makes Acuña a really nice pick to find the seats today. Hunter Renfroe will face off with Adam Wainwright and will look to build on a nice start to the season. Renfroe had 2 more hits on Saturday and is now hitting .368 with 3 home runs on this young season. He showed nice improvements vs RHP last year and makes for an interesting GPP option today. If you are looking for a GPP punt we go back to Alex Gordon. Gordon is hitting .300 to start the season with a couple home runs. He’s been hitting 3rd in the middle of the Royals order and will look to take advantage of Tyson Ross.

 

Other Outfield Options- Aaron Judge, Christian Yelich/Eric Thames, Juan Soto, Michael Conforto, Mitch Haniger, Eloy Jimenez, Nick Castellanos, Eddie Rosario/Max Kepler, Domingo Santana/Mallex Smith, Jorge Soler

 

Stacks

 

Cash- For cash games we will be looking at the Chicago White Sox vs Wade LeBlanc. The likes of Jose Abreu, Tim Anderson and Eloy Jimenez can get things started. Based on the lineup there may be other ways to stack it up. Another cash stack will be the Houston Astros vs Mike Fiers. The usual suspects are all in play. I really like Carlos Correa, don’t sleep on Michael Brantley and maybe be a little different with Josh Reddick.

 

GPP- The Atlanta Braves are standing out to me in GPPs. I know Smith is sneaky good and has big K upside, but also has a lot of home run upside and that’s a target in tournaments. Ronald Acuña and Ozzie Albies lead the way. When the lineup comes out stack around those 2. Another GPP stack would be the San Diego Padres. I’ve mentioned Machado and Renfroe already, but there’s a lot to like from a tournament perspective here. Also look at Hosmer, Tatis and some of the other outfield options as the Padres go for the sweep.

Other Stack Options- Yankees, Mariners, Cardinals, Cubs (lots of ways to go on this nice 11 game slate)

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